Colorado @ Washington Picks & Props

Nationals Park grades out as the #27 ballpark in baseball for left-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is expected to have the 5th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Among all the teams in action today, the best infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies. CJ Abrams has been lucky this year, putting up a .318 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .299 — a .019 gap. As it relates to plate discipline, CJ Abrams's skill is quite weak, posting a 5.25 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 7th percentile.

This game is expected to have the 5th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jake Irvin will hold the platoon advantage over Ezequiel Tovar in today's game. Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ezequiel Tovar in today's game.

Luis Garcia is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season. Nationals Park grades out as the #27 ballpark in baseball for left-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is expected to have the 5th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Among all the teams in action today, the best infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies. Luis Garcia has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 6.2% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past two weeks.

Nolan Jones's BABIP ability is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nolan Jones is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Nolan Jones will have the handedness advantage against Jake Irvin today. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the worst among all the teams playing today.

Michael Toglia is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. Michael Toglia pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.3% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the worst among all the teams playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeimer Candelario in the 76th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Jeimer Candelario is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Jeimer Candelario pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Jeimer Candelario will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest right field dimensions in the league. Ryan McMahon will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams playing today. In the last week, Ryan McMahon's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.8-mph over the course of the season to 102.7-mph lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Lane Thomas is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. Lane Thomas will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Lane Thomas has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 9.1% seasonal rate to 18.8% in the past 7 days. Lane Thomas's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, rising from 15.3% on the season to 25% over the last week.

Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. Jurickson Profar pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.9% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jurickson Profar's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, increasing from 17.4% on the season to 33.3% over the past 14 days.

Randal Grichuk is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams playing today. There has been a significant improvement in Randal Grichuk's launch angle from last year's 8.3° to 16.7° this year. Sporting a .348 BABIP this year, Randal Grichuk has performed in the 92nd percentile.

Keibert Ruiz is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Keibert Ruiz pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.4% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Keibert Ruiz will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Keibert Ruiz has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 99.3-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 90.9-mph. In terms of plate discipline, Keibert Ruiz's ability is quite strong, putting up a 1.62 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 87th percentile.

Alex Call will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Meneses in the 79th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Joey Meneses is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. Joey Meneses has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Joey Meneses will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Harold Castro in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest right field dimensions in the league. Harold Castro will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin in today's game. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams playing today.

Austin Wynns has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the worst among all the teams playing today.

Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest right field dimensions in the league. Corey Dickerson will hold the platoon advantage over Peter Lambert in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Corey Dickerson will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Corey Dickerson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 11.1% to 16.7%.

Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest right field dimensions in the league. Dominic Smith will hold the platoon advantage against Peter Lambert in today's game. Dominic Smith will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Elias Diaz has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.