BOS -113 o8.0
NYY +105 u8.0
TOR -133 o8.5
MIA +122 u8.5
WAS +222 o10.0
PHI -248 u10.0
KC +107 o8.5
DET -116 u8.5
COL +159 o8.0
PIT -174 u8.0
HOU +104 o9.0
BAL -112 u9.0
CLE +107 o8.5
TEX -116 u8.5
SF +127 o7.0
MIL -138 u7.0
MIN -102 o9.0
CHW -106 u9.0
NYM -114 o9.0
ATL +106 u9.0
CIN -116 o9.0
AZ +107 u9.0
LAD -129 o8.0
SD +119 u8.0
CHC -139 o10.0
LAA +128 u10.0
ATH +150 o7.5
SEA -163 u7.5
MASN2, NBC Bay Area

San Francisco @ Washington props

Nationals Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Joey Meneses Total Hits Props • Washington

Joey Meneses
J. Meneses
designated hitter DH • Washington
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The #3 stadium in MLB for suppressing base hits to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Logan Webb will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joey Meneses in today's game. In the past week, Joey Meneses's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.7% down to 0%. Joey Meneses's average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 89.2-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 84.9-mph in the past 7 days. Joey Meneses's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, going from 19.2% to 9.3%.

Joey Meneses

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The #3 stadium in MLB for suppressing base hits to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Logan Webb will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joey Meneses in today's game. In the past week, Joey Meneses's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.7% down to 0%. Joey Meneses's average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 89.2-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 84.9-mph in the past 7 days. Joey Meneses's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, going from 19.2% to 9.3%.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

CJ Abrams
C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The #3 ballpark in the majors for suppressing base hits to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. In the past 14 days, CJ Abrams's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 91.4 mph to 88.3 mph. In the last 14 days, CJ Abrams's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (3.6°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 9.8°. CJ Abrams has been lucky this year, posting a .317 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .299 — a .018 discrepancy. CJ Abrams has shown weak plate discipline this year, checking in at the 5th percentile with a 5.43 K/BB rate.

CJ Abrams

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The #3 ballpark in the majors for suppressing base hits to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. In the past 14 days, CJ Abrams's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 91.4 mph to 88.3 mph. In the last 14 days, CJ Abrams's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (3.6°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 9.8°. CJ Abrams has been lucky this year, posting a .317 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .299 — a .018 discrepancy. CJ Abrams has shown weak plate discipline this year, checking in at the 5th percentile with a 5.43 K/BB rate.

Jeimer Candelario Total Hits Props • Washington

Jeimer Candelario
J. Candelario
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeimer Candelario in the 75th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Jeimer Candelario is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Jeimer Candelario pulls many of his flyballs (34.2% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jeimer Candelario will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Jeimer Candelario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeimer Candelario in the 75th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Jeimer Candelario is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Jeimer Candelario pulls many of his flyballs (34.2% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jeimer Candelario will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Michael Conforto Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Michael Conforto
M. Conforto
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Michael Conforto is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. The 8th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Michael Conforto will hold the platoon advantage over Josiah Gray in today's game.

Michael Conforto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Michael Conforto is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. The 8th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Michael Conforto will hold the platoon advantage over Josiah Gray in today's game.

Lane Thomas Total Hits Props • Washington

Lane Thomas
L. Thomas
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 76th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Lane Thomas is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Lane Thomas will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. This year, Lane Thomas's flyball exit velocity (a reliable standard to study power) is in the 78th percentile at 94.6 mph.

Lane Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 76th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Lane Thomas is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Lane Thomas will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. This year, Lane Thomas's flyball exit velocity (a reliable standard to study power) is in the 78th percentile at 94.6 mph.

Mike Yastrzemski Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Mike Yastrzemski
M. Yastrzemski
right outfield RF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Mike Yastrzemski is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Mike Yastrzemski will hold the platoon advantage against Josiah Gray in today's matchup. Mike Yastrzemski pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

Mike Yastrzemski

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Mike Yastrzemski is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Mike Yastrzemski will hold the platoon advantage against Josiah Gray in today's matchup. Mike Yastrzemski pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

Blake Sabol Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Blake Sabol
B. Sabol
catcher C • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Blake Sabol's BABIP ability is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 8th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Blake Sabol will hold the platoon advantage against Josiah Gray in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the Washington Nationals.

Blake Sabol

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Blake Sabol's BABIP ability is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 8th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Blake Sabol will hold the platoon advantage against Josiah Gray in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the Washington Nationals.

Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington

Keibert Ruiz
K. Ruiz
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Keibert Ruiz is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Keibert Ruiz will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Keibert Ruiz has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.9-mph average to last year's 88.4-mph mark.

Keibert Ruiz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Keibert Ruiz is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Keibert Ruiz will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Keibert Ruiz has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.9-mph average to last year's 88.4-mph mark.

Luis Matos Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Luis Matos
L. Matos
center outfield CF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Matos in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the Washington Nationals. Luis Matos has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 91.4-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 87.6-mph average. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Luis Matos's 63% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.1%.

Luis Matos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Matos in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the Washington Nationals. Luis Matos has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 91.4-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 87.6-mph average. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Luis Matos's 63% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.1%.

Joc Pederson Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Joc Pederson
J. Pederson
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Joc Pederson is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The 8th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Joc Pederson will have the handedness advantage against Josiah Gray in today's matchup.

Joc Pederson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Joc Pederson is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The 8th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Joc Pederson will have the handedness advantage against Josiah Gray in today's matchup.

Corey Dickerson Total Hits Props • Washington

Corey Dickerson
C. Dickerson
left outfield LF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The 8th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Corey Dickerson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Webb in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Corey Dickerson will hold that advantage in today's game. Corey Dickerson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 11.1% to 17.2%.

Corey Dickerson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The 8th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Corey Dickerson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Webb in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Corey Dickerson will hold that advantage in today's game. Corey Dickerson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 11.1% to 17.2%.

Patrick Bailey Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Patrick Bailey
P. Bailey
catcher C • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The 8th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 83°. Out of all the teams playing today, the worst outfield defense is that of the Washington Nationals. In the last 7 days, Patrick Bailey's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.4% up to 28.6%. Patrick Bailey has seen a big increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.8-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 90.8-mph figure.

Patrick Bailey

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The 8th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 83°. Out of all the teams playing today, the worst outfield defense is that of the Washington Nationals. In the last 7 days, Patrick Bailey's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.4% up to 28.6%. Patrick Bailey has seen a big increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.8-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 90.8-mph figure.

Casey Schmitt Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Casey Schmitt
C. Schmitt
third base 3B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the Washington Nationals. Despite posting a .252 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Casey Schmitt has had some very poor luck given the .038 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .290.

Casey Schmitt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the Washington Nationals. Despite posting a .252 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Casey Schmitt has had some very poor luck given the .038 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .290.

Dominic Smith Total Hits Props • Washington

Dominic Smith
D. Smith
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The 8th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Dominic Smith will hold the platoon advantage over Logan Webb in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Dominic Smith will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Dominic Smith's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (19.6° in the last two weeks) is a significant increase over his 15.8° seasonal angle.

Dominic Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The 8th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Dominic Smith will hold the platoon advantage over Logan Webb in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Dominic Smith will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Dominic Smith's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (19.6° in the last two weeks) is a significant increase over his 15.8° seasonal angle.

Luis Garcia Total Hits Props • Washington

Luis Garcia
L. Garcia
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Luis Garcia's batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 8th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Luis Garcia will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Webb in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Luis Garcia will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Luis Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Luis Garcia's batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 8th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Luis Garcia will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Webb in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Luis Garcia will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Alex Call Total Hits Props • Washington

Alex Call
A. Call
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Alex Call will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Over the past week, Alex Call's 46.2% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15%. Alex Call has been unlucky this year, posting a .278 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .322 — a .044 deviation.

Alex Call

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Alex Call will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Over the past week, Alex Call's 46.2% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15%. Alex Call has been unlucky this year, posting a .278 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .322 — a .044 deviation.

J.D. Davis Total Hits Props • San Francisco

J.D. Davis
J. Davis
third base 3B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.83
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

J.D. Davis has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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