San Francisco @ Washington Picks & Props

The #3 stadium in MLB for suppressing base hits to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Logan Webb will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joey Meneses in today's game. In the past week, Joey Meneses's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.7% down to 0%. Joey Meneses's average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 89.2-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 84.9-mph in the past 7 days. Joey Meneses's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, going from 19.2% to 9.3%.

The #3 ballpark in the majors for suppressing base hits to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. In the past 14 days, CJ Abrams's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 91.4 mph to 88.3 mph. In the last 14 days, CJ Abrams's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (3.6°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 9.8°. CJ Abrams has been lucky this year, posting a .317 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .299 — a .018 discrepancy. CJ Abrams has shown weak plate discipline this year, checking in at the 5th percentile with a 5.43 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeimer Candelario in the 75th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Jeimer Candelario is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Jeimer Candelario pulls many of his flyballs (34.2% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jeimer Candelario will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Michael Conforto is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. The 8th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Michael Conforto will hold the platoon advantage over Josiah Gray in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 76th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Lane Thomas is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Lane Thomas will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. This year, Lane Thomas's flyball exit velocity (a reliable standard to study power) is in the 78th percentile at 94.6 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Mike Yastrzemski is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Mike Yastrzemski will hold the platoon advantage against Josiah Gray in today's matchup. Mike Yastrzemski pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

Blake Sabol's BABIP ability is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 8th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Blake Sabol will hold the platoon advantage against Josiah Gray in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the Washington Nationals.

Keibert Ruiz is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Keibert Ruiz will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Keibert Ruiz has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.9-mph average to last year's 88.4-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Matos in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the Washington Nationals. Luis Matos has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 91.4-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 87.6-mph average. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Luis Matos's 63% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Joc Pederson is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The 8th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Joc Pederson will have the handedness advantage against Josiah Gray in today's matchup.

The 8th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Corey Dickerson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Webb in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Corey Dickerson will hold that advantage in today's game. Corey Dickerson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 11.1% to 17.2%.

The 8th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 83°. Out of all the teams playing today, the worst outfield defense is that of the Washington Nationals. In the last 7 days, Patrick Bailey's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.4% up to 28.6%. Patrick Bailey has seen a big increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.8-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 90.8-mph figure.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the Washington Nationals. Despite posting a .252 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Casey Schmitt has had some very poor luck given the .038 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .290.

The 8th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Dominic Smith will hold the platoon advantage over Logan Webb in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Dominic Smith will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Dominic Smith's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (19.6° in the last two weeks) is a significant increase over his 15.8° seasonal angle.

Luis Garcia's batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 8th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Luis Garcia will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Webb in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Luis Garcia will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Alex Call will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Over the past week, Alex Call's 46.2% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15%. Alex Call has been unlucky this year, posting a .278 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .322 — a .044 deviation.

J.D. Davis has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

LaMonte Wade Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.