Toronto @ Seattle Picks & Props

The #1 stadium in the league for suppressing BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report the 5th-most favorable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today. Logan Gilbert will have the handedness advantage against Bo Bichette in today's game. Bo Bichette will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.

The #1 stadium in the league for suppressing BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report the 5th-most favorable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today. Logan Gilbert will have the handedness advantage over George Springer in today's matchup. George Springer will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.

Jose Caballero pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 81st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jose Caballero will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Jose Caballero's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, rising from 14.8% on the season to 25% over the past week. With a 1.88 K/BB rate this year, Jose Caballero has shown good plate discipline, ranking in the 75th percentile.

Mike Ford is penciled in 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 87% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Mike Ford will have the handedness advantage against Kevin Gausman today. Mike Ford pulls many of his flyballs (39% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Mike Ford will hold that advantage in today's game. Mike Ford has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.9-mph average to last season's 88.8-mph average.

T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for HRs. Kolten Wong will hold the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's matchup. Kolten Wong will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Kolten Wong has been unlucky this year, notching a .211 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .315 — a .104 discrepancy.

Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (37.1% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage in today's game. Cal Raleigh has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .306 rate is a good deal lower than his .337 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Daulton Varsho will have the handedness advantage against Logan Gilbert today. Daulton Varsho pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.4% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Daulton Varsho has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 7.6% seasonal rate to 33.3% over the past week. Daulton Varsho has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 101.2-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal EV of 93.3-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 18th-best hitter in the majors when it comes to his BABIP skill. Teoscar Hernandez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for HRs. Teoscar Hernandez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Teoscar Hernandez has made notable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 14% seasonal rate to 19% in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Whit Merrifield in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Whit Merrifield has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among every team in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Whit Merrifield has notched a .287 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Whit Merrifield has posted a .297 batting average this year, checking in at the 93rd percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% — 84th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Eugenio Suarez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Eugenio Suarez has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 12.8% seasonal rate to 26.7% in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for HRs. Kevin Kiermaier will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Kevin Kiermaier has compiled a .335 BABIP this year, grading out in the 83rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 5th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his BABIP talent. Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for HRs. Julio Rodriguez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Julio Rodriguez's true offensive talent to be a .377, indicating that he this year given the .064 deviation between that mark and his actual .313 wOBA.

Dylan Moore pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 81st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Dylan Moore will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.373) implies that Dylan Moore has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .319 actual wOBA. Since the start of last season, Dylan Moore's 15.3% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 96th percentile among his peers. Dylan Moore's 22° launch angle (an advanced metric to evaluate a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the highest in baseball: 95th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Brandon Belt ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Belt is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Brandon Belt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert in today's matchup. Brandon Belt pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Matt Chapman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Matt Chapman pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Matt Chapman has notched a .361 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 88th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Alejandro Kirk's batting average skill is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alejandro Kirk has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Alejandro Kirk's true offensive ability to be a .340, suggesting that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .050 disparity between that mark and his actual .290 wOBA. When it comes to plate discipline, Alejandro Kirk's skill is quite good, posting a 1.38 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 95th percentile.

T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for HRs. Cavan Biggio will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Cavan Biggio has made big strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 7% rate last year to 13.8% this season. Cavan Biggio has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 92.5-mph average to last year's 89.3-mph mark.

AJ Pollock has not yet played a game this season.

Ty France has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

J.P. Crawford has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.