Philadelphia @ Cleveland Picks & Props

Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the Cleveland Guardians. Bryce Harper will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. From last season to this one, Bryce Harper's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 13.9% to 9.8%. Bryce Harper's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, going from 9.8% on the season to 0% over the last two weeks.

Tanner Bibee will have the handedness advantage over Trea Turner today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the Cleveland Guardians. Trea Turner will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Posting a 3.63 K/BB rate this year, Trea Turner has displayed poor plate discipline, placing in the 23rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Andres Gimenez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler today. Among every team today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. Andres Gimenez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Kyle Schwarber will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Bibee in today's game. Kyle Schwarber pulls many of his flyballs (38.1% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Josh Bell ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Among every team today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Josh Bell will hold that advantage today.

Myles Straw's BABIP talent is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Myles Straw has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (47.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among every team today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. Myles Straw will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jose Ramirez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.9% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among every team today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies.

Amed Rosario's batting average skill is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Amed Rosario is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Among every team today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. Amed Rosario will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Steven Kwan has recorded a .305 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, placing in the 24th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Steven Kwan's 0.9% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) grades out in the 1st percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Alec Bohm has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Alec Bohm has recorded a .273 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. By putting up a .283 batting average this year, Alec Bohm is positioned in the 86th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 2nd-best hitter in baseball when it comes to his BABIP ability. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Brandon Marsh will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Bibee in today's game. Brandon Marsh has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Brandon Marsh has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.3-mph average to last year's 89.2-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Brennan in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Will Brennan will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's game. Among every team today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Will Brennan will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Bryson Stott will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Bibee in today's game. Bryson Stott has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. In the last week, Bryson Stott's 22.2% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.1%.

In the league, Progressive Field's LF fences are the 3rd-shallowest. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Edmundo Sosa is remarkably toolsy, grading out in the 95th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.35 ft/sec this year.

Bo Naylor has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

J.T. Realmuto has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Nick Castellanos has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.