Toronto @ Seattle Picks & Props

Bryce Miller will have the handedness advantage over Bo Bichette in today's matchup. Bo Bichette will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Whit Merrifield in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Whit Merrifield has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners. In the last 14 days, Whit Merrifield has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 23.6° compared to his seasonal mark of 17.7°. Utilizing Statcast data, Whit Merrifield is in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .289.

Daulton Varsho will hold the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller in today's game. Daulton Varsho pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.4% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners. Daulton Varsho has made big improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 7.6% seasonal rate to 20% over the last 7 days. Daulton Varsho has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 101.2-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal mark of 93.3-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. T-Mobile Park has the least fair ground in MLB — generally good for HRs. Kevin Kiermaier will have the handedness advantage over Bryce Miller in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners. Kevin Kiermaier's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, increasing from 47.1% on the season to 58.8% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Jose Caballero will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's game... and the cherry on top, Kikuchi has a large platoon split. Jose Caballero pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jose Caballero will hold that advantage today. Jose Caballero's 23.3° launch angle (a reliable stat to evaluate a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most flyball-inducing in MLB: 96th percentile. By putting up a 1.89 K/BB rate this year, Jose Caballero has displayed strong plate discipline, checking in at the 76th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 4th-best hitter in the majors when it comes to his BABIP skill. Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Julio Rodriguez will hold the platoon advantage over Yusei Kikuchi today... and moreover, Kikuchi has a large platoon split. Julio Rodriguez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Dylan Moore will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi today... and even better, Kikuchi has a large platoon split. Dylan Moore pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Dylan Moore will hold that advantage today. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Dylan Moore since the start of last season. His .319 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .373. Dylan Moore's 15.3% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) ranks in the 96th percentile since the start of last season.

Danny Jansen pulls many of his flyballs (42.3% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Teoscar Hernandez's BABIP skill is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Teoscar Hernandez is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Teoscar Hernandez will hold the platoon advantage over Yusei Kikuchi in today's game... and even more favorably, Kikuchi has a large platoon split. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Teoscar Hernandez will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Matt Chapman is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Matt Chapman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Brandon Belt ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Belt is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Brandon Belt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller today. Brandon Belt pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, George Springer ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. T-Mobile Park has the least fair ground in MLB — generally good for HRs. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners. George Springer has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 9.2% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Eugenio Suarez will have the handedness advantage over Yusei Kikuchi in today's game... and even more favorably, Kikuchi has a large platoon split. Eugenio Suarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Eugenio Suarez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Tom Murphy is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 97% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Tom Murphy will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Kikuchi has a large platoon split. Tom Murphy pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Tom Murphy will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Ty France has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

AJ Pollock has not yet played a game this season.

J.P. Crawford has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Cavan Biggio has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Yusei Kikuchi has gone over 4.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.