Minnesota @ Seattle Picks & Props

14% of the time that Alex Kirilloff has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter. The #2 ballpark in the league for suppressing BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to worse offense. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for pitching of all games on the slate today. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Alex Kirilloff in today's matchup.

Mike Ford is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Mike Ford will have the handedness advantage against Pablo Lopez today. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Mike Ford has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Mike Ford pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.7% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the 15th-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Byron Buxton in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Byron Buxton is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Byron Buxton pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.7% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense profiles as the 14th-worst among all the teams on the slate today. Byron Buxton has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph to 96.6-mph in the past 7 days.

Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (37% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the 15th-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Cal Raleigh's launch angle in recent games (26.9° in the last two weeks) is a considerable increase over his 19.1° seasonal figure. Cal Raleigh has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .308 rate is a fair amount lower than his .337 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jose Caballero pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the 15th-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Jose Caballero will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Jose Caballero ranks in the 96th percentile with a 23.8° launch angle, which is one of the highest angles in the league. Jose Caballero has shown impressive plate discipline this year, ranking in the 76th percentile with a 1.89 K/BB rate.

Jarred Kelenic is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of the day at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jarred Kelenic will hold the platoon advantage over Pablo Lopez in today's game. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jarred Kelenic can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 20th-best batter in baseball when it comes to his BABIP skill. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs. Out of every team today, the 15th-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Teoscar Hernandez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Carlos Correa ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Carlos Correa is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of the day at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Carlos Correa has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph to 97.2-mph over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 3rd-best hitter in the league as it relates to his BABIP ability. Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs. Out of every team today, the 15th-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Julio Rodriguez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Eugenio Suarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the 15th-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Eugenio Suarez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Donovan Solano's BABIP talent is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Donovan Solano is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense profiles as the 14th-worst among all the teams on the slate today. Donovan Solano has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.7-mph average to last season's 88.3-mph mark.

Christian Vazquez has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense profiles as the 14th-worst among all the teams on the slate today. Christian Vazquez has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 2.1% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the past week. In the past week's worth of games, Christian Vazquez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.4-mph over the course of the season to 99.2-mph recently. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Christian Vazquez has experienced some negative variance this year. His .257 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .298.

Matt Wallner is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs. Matt Wallner will have the handedness advantage against George Kirby in today's game. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense profiles as the 14th-worst among all the teams on the slate today.

Kyle Farmer pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense profiles as the 14th-worst among all the teams on the slate today. Kyle Farmer has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 9.4% seasonal rate to 25% in the last 14 days. Kyle Farmer has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.3-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 88.6-mph mark. Kyle Farmer's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 16.5% on the season to 43.8% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense profiles as the 14th-worst among all the teams on the slate today. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Willi Castro has experienced some negative variance this year. His .307 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .333.

Max Kepler is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of the day at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Max Kepler will hold the platoon advantage against George Kirby in today's game. Max Kepler pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Max Kepler has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97.5-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 92.9-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edouard Julien as the 10th-best hitter in the league when estimating his BABIP skill. Edouard Julien is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. Edouard Julien will have the handedness advantage over George Kirby in today's matchup. Edouard Julien has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense profiles as the 14th-worst among all the teams on the slate today.

Joey Gallo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against George Kirby today. Joey Gallo pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.9% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense profiles as the 14th-worst among all the teams on the slate today. In the past week, Joey Gallo's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 21.8% up to 33.3%. Joey Gallo's launch angle this season (28.5°) is significantly better than his 23.4° figure last season.

Kolten Wong has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

J.P. Crawford has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Ty France has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.