Minnesota @ Seattle Picks & Props

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for home runs. Ryan Jeffers has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.6-mph average to last season's 88.2-mph average. Ryan Jeffers's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 40.5% to 54.4%. Ryan Jeffers has notched a .354 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 83rd percentile.

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for home runs. Willi Castro has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .306 figure is quite a bit lower than his .336 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Byron Buxton ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Byron Buxton is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Byron Buxton pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.8% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Byron Buxton has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph to 95.5-mph in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Carlos Correa is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for home runs. Carlos Correa has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 97.2-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 89.4-mph figure. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Carlos Correa's true offensive ability to be a .358, providing some evidence that he this year given the .042 deviation between that mark and his actual .316 wOBA.

Kyle Farmer pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.1% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Kyle Farmer has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 8.8% seasonal rate to 20% in the past 14 days. Kyle Farmer has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 91.9-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.4-mph mark. In the past two weeks, Kyle Farmer's 40% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.3%. Kyle Farmer has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .246 figure is quite a bit lower than his .268 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Max Kepler is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Max Kepler will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Castillo today. Max Kepler pulls many of his flyballs (33.3% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Over the past 14 days, Max Kepler's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.9-mph over the course of the season to 97.5-mph recently.

Donovan Solano's BABIP talent is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Donovan Solano is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Donovan Solano has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Donovan Solano has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.9-mph average to last year's 88.3-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edouard Julien as the 10th-best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP ability. Edouard Julien is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Edouard Julien will have the handedness advantage against Luis Castillo in today's game. Edouard Julien has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Over the last 14 days, Edouard Julien has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 15.4% to 33.3%.

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Teoscar Hernandez is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for home runs. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among all the teams today. Teoscar Hernandez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Teoscar Hernandez has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 14% seasonal rate to 25% in the past week.

Jarred Kelenic is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for home runs. Jarred Kelenic will hold the platoon advantage over Kenta Maeda in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jarred Kelenic stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among all the teams today.

Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.2% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the worst among all the teams today. Cal Raleigh will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Cal Raleigh's launch angle in recent games (24.2° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit higher than his 18.7° seasonal mark.

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for home runs. Kolten Wong will have the handedness advantage against Kenta Maeda in today's game. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kolten Wong stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among all the teams today. Kolten Wong will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Tom Murphy pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among all the teams today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Tom Murphy will hold that advantage in today's game. Tom Murphy has compiled a .373 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 97th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Since the start of last season, Tom Murphy's flyball exit velocity (an advanced standard to study power) ranks in the 95th percentile at 96.6 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Kirilloff in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Alex Kirilloff is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Alex Kirilloff will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo in today's matchup. Alex Kirilloff has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Alex Kirilloff's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 38.2% to 53%.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Eugenio Suarez pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among all the teams today. Eugenio Suarez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Matt Wallner is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for home runs. Matt Wallner will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo today.

Mike Ford has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (93% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Mike Ford will have the handedness advantage against Kenta Maeda in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Mike Ford stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Mike Ford pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.8% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among all the teams today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 5th-best batter in the game when estimating his BABIP talent. Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for home runs. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among all the teams today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage today.

Joey Gallo will have the handedness advantage against Luis Castillo in today's matchup. Joey Gallo pulls many of his flyballs (41.9% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Joey Gallo has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 22% seasonal rate to 40% over the past week. There has been a significant improvement in Joey Gallo's launch angle from last season's 23.4° to 28.2° this year. Joey Gallo's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (44° over the past two weeks) is significantly higher than his 36.3° seasonal figure.

Ty France has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Michael A. Taylor has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

J.P. Crawford has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Christian Vazquez has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Jose Caballero has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.