San Diego @ Toronto Picks & Props

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Trent Grisham ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Trent Grisham will hold the platoon advantage over Jose Berrios in today's matchup. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Trent Grisham has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. The Barrel% of Trent Grisham has significantly improved, with an increase from 8.7% last year to 14.7% this year.

The #5 park in the game for suppressing BABIP to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. This contest is projected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Yu Darvish will have the handedness advantage against Bo Bichette in today's matchup. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among every team in action today.

The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Daulton Varsho will have the handedness advantage against Yu Darvish in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage today. Over the last week, Daulton Varsho's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.6% up to 20%. Daulton Varsho's launch angle this year (18.3°) is a significant increase over his 14.5° mark last year.

The #5 park in the game for suppressing BABIP to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. This contest is projected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jose Berrios will hold the platoon advantage over Manny Machado in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the Toronto Blue Jays. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Manny Machado in today's game.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Brandon Belt ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Belt is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Brandon Belt will have the handedness advantage over Yu Darvish in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Brandon Belt will hold that advantage in today's game.

The #5 park in the game for suppressing BABIP to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. This contest is projected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Yu Darvish will have the handedness advantage against George Springer in today's matchup. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among every team in action today. George Springer's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, going from 15.6% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.

Juan Soto projects as the 5th-best batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage over Jose Berrios today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Juan Soto can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Juan Soto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Kevin Kiermaier will hold the platoon advantage against Yu Darvish today. Kevin Kiermaier hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Kevin Kiermaier will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past two weeks, Kevin Kiermaier's 58.8% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.1%.

The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Matt Carpenter will hold the platoon advantage over Jose Berrios in today's matchup. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Carpenter can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Matt Carpenter's true offensive ability to be a .329, providing some evidence that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .050 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .279 wOBA. Matt Carpenter and his 24.1° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 97th percentile, among the highest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Xander Bogaerts has displayed favorable plate discipline this year, placing in the 85th percentile with a 1.66 K/BB rate.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Matt Chapman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Matt Chapman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Matt Chapman will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Matt Chapman has made substantial strides with his Barrel%, upping his 12.9% rate last year to 18.1% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 79th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Jake Cronenworth will hold the platoon advantage over Jose Berrios today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Cronenworth can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.1°, Jake Cronenworth has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 41.3° mark in the last week's worth of games.

Luis Campusano hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Danny Jansen will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Last year, Danny Jansen had an average launch angle of 15° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 20.8°. Danny Jansen's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, rising from 41% on the season to 71.4% over the past week. Danny Jansen has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .229 rate is a good deal lower than his .246 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Whit Merrifield's batting average skill is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Whit Merrifield will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Over the past two weeks, Whit Merrifield has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 23.6° compared to his seasonal mark of 17.7°. Using Statcast data, Whit Merrifield is in the 90th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .289.

The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.4°, Gary Sanchez has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 25.3° figure in the last week's worth of games. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.218) implies that Gary Sanchez has been unlucky this year with his .190 actual batting average.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Fernando Tatis Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.