Minnesota @ Seattle Picks & Props

Mike Ford will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Ober in today's game. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Mike Ford can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Mike Ford pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.8% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Mike Ford will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jarred Kelenic is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. Jarred Kelenic will have the handedness advantage against Bailey Ober in today's game. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jarred Kelenic stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Among every team in action today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Byron Buxton ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Byron Buxton is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. Byron Buxton pulls many of his flyballs (40.8% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Byron Buxton has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 99.5-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 94.5-mph. Despite posting a .302 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Byron Buxton has had bad variance on his side given the .058 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .360.

Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (37% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage today. Compared to his seasonal average of 18.5°, Cal Raleigh has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 23.8° angle over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 20th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP talent. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. Among every team in action today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Teoscar Hernandez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. Willi Castro's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 17.3% to 20.8%. Willi Castro has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .301 figure is a fair amount lower than his .336 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Donovan Solano is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. Donovan Solano has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91-mph to 93.8-mph over the last two weeks. Donovan Solano has put up a .273 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Eugenio Suarez pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Eugenio Suarez will hold that advantage today.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the last week, Julio Rodriguez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94-mph over the course of the season to 96.8-mph recently.

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Edouard Julien is projected as the 12th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Edouard Julien is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Edouard Julien will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryan Woo in today's matchup. Edouard Julien has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Edouard Julien has posted a .379 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 93rd percentile.

Jose Caballero pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Among every team in action today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Jose Caballero will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Jose Caballero ranks in the 96th percentile with a 23.5° launch angle, which is among the most flyball-inducing angles in Major League Baseball. Ranking in the 93rd percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.19 ft/sec this year, Jose Caballero is notably quick.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Carlos Correa ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Carlos Correa is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. Carlos Correa has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.3-mph to 97.1-mph in the past 7 days. Carlos Correa has been unlucky this year, posting a .313 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .355 — a .042 disparity.

Matt Wallner is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. Matt Wallner will hold the platoon advantage over Bryan Woo today.

Max Kepler is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Max Kepler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryan Woo today. Max Kepler pulls a lot of his flyballs (33% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Max Kepler has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.2-mph average to last season's 89.1-mph mark. Over the past 14 days, Max Kepler's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.8-mph over the course of the season to 98.9-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Kirilloff in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Alex Kirilloff is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Alex Kirilloff will hold the platoon advantage over Bryan Woo in today's matchup. Alex Kirilloff has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Over the past two weeks, Alex Kirilloff's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (11.4°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 16°.

Christian Vazquez has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Christian Vazquez has been unlucky this year. His .263 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .304. Launch angles in the range of -4° to 26° tend to become base hits at a high rate; Christian Vazquez and his 51.8% this year rank in the 98th percentile by this measure.

Kyle Farmer pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. In the last 7 days, Kyle Farmer's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.8% up to 22.2%. Kyle Farmer has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 91.9-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 88.4-mph average. Kyle Farmer's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, rising from 15.3% on the season to 33.3% over the last 7 days. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.329) implies that Kyle Farmer has suffered from bad luck this year with his .302 actual wOBA.

Joey Gallo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryan Woo in today's game. Joey Gallo pulls many of his flyballs (41.7% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Joey Gallo has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.4-mph average to last season's 89.4-mph figure. Joey Gallo's launch angle this year (27.8°) is a considerable increase over his 23.4° mark last year. Joey Gallo's 21.7% Barrel% (an advanced standard to study power) is in the 98th percentile this year.

Michael A. Taylor has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

AJ Pollock has not yet played a game this season.

Ty France has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

J.P. Crawford has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.