World Series Odds: A Dodgers Three-Peat is Already at +220, But It's Far From a Sure Thing
Total PicksNYY 195, LAA 194
Total PicksNYY 350, LAA 219
Total PicksNYY 61, LAA 63
Total PicksNYY 184, LAA 106
It may be sensible to expect stronger performance for the New York Yankees offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as them as the 4th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year. Angel Stadium has the lowest fence height (on average) in the league. Shohei Ohtani has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and will be challenged by the league's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Over the past two weeks, Shohei Ohtani's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 99.7 mph to 97 mph. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Shohei Ohtani has had some very good luck this year. His .443 rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .397.
Gleyber Torres's batting average talent is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gleyber Torres is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Gleyber Torres will have the handedness advantage over Patrick Sandoval in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Sandoval has a large platoon split. Gleyber Torres's launch angle of late (20.3° in the past week's worth of games) is significantly higher than his 15° seasonal mark.
Oswald Peraza is penciled in 1st in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Oswald Peraza will hold the platoon advantage against Patrick Sandoval today... and even better, Sandoval has a large platoon split. Ranking in the 88th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.79 ft/sec this year, Oswald Peraza is notably quick.
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Kyle Higashioka will hold the platoon advantage over Patrick Sandoval in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Sandoval has a large platoon split. Bats such as Kyle Higashioka with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Patrick Sandoval who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Kyle Higashioka's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 40.9% to 48.1%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.323) suggests that Kyle Higashioka has suffered from bad luck this year with his .283 actual wOBA.
Taylor Ward's batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Taylor Ward is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Taylor Ward will hold that advantage in today's game. Taylor Ward has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96.5-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 91.6-mph.
DJ LeMahieu's batting average talent is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). DJ LeMahieu is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. DJ LeMahieu will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Sandoval in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Sandoval has a large platoon split. In the last week's worth of games, DJ LeMahieu's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.8%.
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Anthony Volpe will have the handedness advantage over Patrick Sandoval in today's game... and the cherry on top, Sandoval has a large platoon split. Extreme groundball batters like Anthony Volpe usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Patrick Sandoval. Anthony Volpe has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .290 rate is a fair amount lower than his .331 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Anthony Volpe ranks in the 97th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (20.9% rate this year).
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Harrison Bader will have the handedness advantage over Patrick Sandoval in today's game... and moreover, Sandoval has a large platoon split. There has been a significant improvement in Harrison Bader's launch angle from last year's 16.6° to 19.9° this season.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Giancarlo Stanton is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Giancarlo Stanton will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Sandoval in today's matchup... and even better, Sandoval has a large platoon split. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.4°, Giancarlo Stanton has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 24.1° figure over the past 14 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Zach Neto has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (77% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Zach Neto will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Zach Neto has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 10.1% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the past 7 days.
Mike Moustakas is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Mike Moustakas will hold the platoon advantage over Domingo German today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Mike Moustakas will hold that advantage today. In the last 7 days, Mike Moustakas's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.5% up to 30%.
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Hunter Renfroe will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the past two weeks, Hunter Renfroe has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 17° compared to his seasonal mark of 10.8°.
Anthony Rizzo is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Anthony Rizzo's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 39.5% to 47.7%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Stefanic in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Michael Stefanic will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Matt Thaiss will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Domingo German in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Matt Thaiss will hold that advantage in today's matchup. By putting up a 1.71 K/BB rate this year, Matt Thaiss has demonstrated favorable plate discipline, checking in at the 82nd percentile. Matt Thaiss has put up a .325 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 79th percentile.
Isiah Kiner-Falefa has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.
Eduardo Escobar has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.
Trey Cabbage has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TAURO1954 | 6-4-0 | +20640 |
| 2 | faustobaez | 5-5-0 | +18570 |
| 3 | faustobone | 5-5-0 | +18455 |
| 4 | proliner55 | 7-3-0 | +17645 |
| 5 | cucamonga | 6-4-0 | +17345 |
| 6 | Jets73 | 8-2-0 | +16105 |
| 7 | Hawggolf1 | 5-5-0 | +16085 |
| 8 | burley | 7-3-0 | +15930 |
| 9 | poppyg | 6-4-0 | +15772 |
| 10 | Fekete | 7-3-0 | +14610 |
| All Yankees Money Leaders | |||
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | coach_d5 | 2-8-0 | +24355 |
| 2 | Huskerdave | 8-2-0 | +20120 |
| 3 | kowalabear | 9-1-0 | +18480 |
| 4 | dotlife162 | 6-4-0 | +17115 |
| 5 | R_MUNDO | 7-3-0 | +15585 |
| 6 | F-Orrell | 6-4-0 | +15578 |
| 7 | Smmiou07 | 2-8-0 | +15130 |
| 8 | uradonkey | 5-5-0 | +13515 |
| 9 | Whiteyr | 6-4-0 | +13370 |
| 10 | kermitfrog | 7-3-0 | +11850 |
| All Angels Money Leaders | |||