San Diego @ Toronto Picks & Props

The #5 ballpark in the league for suppressing BABIP to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. The weather forecast calls for the 5th-best pitching weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Joe Musgrove will hold the platoon advantage against Bo Bichette in today's matchup. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest out of every team playing today.

The #5 ballpark in the league for suppressing BABIP to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. The weather forecast calls for the 5th-best pitching weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Joe Musgrove will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against George Springer in today's matchup. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest out of every team playing today. George Springer's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, going from 15.6% on the season to 0% in the last week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Trent Grisham will hold the platoon advantage against Alek Manoah today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Trent Grisham can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. The Barrel% of Trent Grisham has significantly improved, with an increase from 8.7% last year to 14.7% this year.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Brandon Belt ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Belt is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Brandon Belt will hold the platoon advantage against Joe Musgrove in today's matchup. Brandon Belt will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Daulton Varsho will have the handedness advantage over Joe Musgrove today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage today. Daulton Varsho has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.7-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 87.9-mph mark. There has been a significant improvement in Daulton Varsho's launch angle from last season's 14.5° to 18.3° this year.

Juan Soto projects as the 6th-best batter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Juan Soto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alek Manoah in today's matchup. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Juan Soto has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Kevin Kiermaier will have the handedness advantage over Joe Musgrove in today's game. Kevin Kiermaier hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Kevin Kiermaier will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last two weeks, Kevin Kiermaier's 57.9% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.1%.

Xander Bogaerts's batting average ability is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Xander Bogaerts has shown favorable plate discipline this year, grading out in the 83rd percentile with a 1.7 K/BB rate.

Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Matt Carpenter will have the handedness advantage against Alek Manoah in today's game. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Carpenter can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Matt Carpenter has been unlucky this year, notching a .279 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .326 — a .047 difference. Matt Carpenter has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 24.1° figure is among the highest in MLB since the start of last season (97th percentile).

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Matt Chapman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Matt Chapman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Matt Chapman will hold that advantage today. Matt Chapman has made notable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 12.9% rate last year to 18.1% this year.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Jake Cronenworth will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alek Manoah in today's game. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Cronenworth can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.1°, Jake Cronenworth has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 41.3° figure over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Manny Machado is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Manny Machado has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 9.5% seasonal rate to 23.3% in the last 14 days. Manny Machado has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.7-mph to 95.8-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Whit Merrifield in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Whit Merrifield will hold that advantage in today's game. Whit Merrifield's launch angle of late (20.2° over the past 14 days) is significantly higher than his 14.1° seasonal figure. Whit Merrifield has notched a .289 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Danny Jansen will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Danny Jansen's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (20.8°) is considerably higher than his 15° figure last year.

Among all major league stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Gary Sanchez's launch angle lately (25.3° in the past 7 days) is significantly higher than his 13.4° seasonal angle. Gary Sanchez has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .188 rate is deflated compared to his .214 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Brandon Dixon has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Fernando Tatis Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.