New York @ Los Angeles Picks & Props

The New York Yankees have been the 6th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better going forward Angel Stadium has the lowest fences in Major League Baseball. Shohei Ohtani has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Shohei Ohtani has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .437 rate is inflated compared to his .397 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Gleyber Torres is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Gleyber Torres has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 7.4% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last week. Gleyber Torres has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 104.6-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 92.3-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Giancarlo Stanton has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 15.9% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the last 7 days. Giancarlo Stanton's launch angle recently (25.7° over the last two weeks) is a considerable increase over his 13° seasonal mark.

Luis Rengifo is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 92% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Luis Rengifo will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Over the last 14 days, Luis Rengifo has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 4.6% to 13.3%. Luis Rengifo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, rising from 14.9% on the season to 33.3% over the past 14 days.

Anthony Rizzo is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Anthony Rizzo will have the handedness advantage against Griffin Canning today. Anthony Rizzo's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 39.5% to 47.9%.

The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Billy McKinney will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Griffin Canning today. As it relates to his batting average, Billy McKinney has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .176 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .211.

The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Despite posting a .259 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Oswaldo Cabrera has had bad variance on his side given the .052 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .311.

Zach Neto's batting average skill is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Zach Neto is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Zach Neto will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Zach Neto has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 10.3% seasonal rate to 28.6% over the last week.

The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Over the last 7 days, Anthony Volpe's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.4% up to 16.7%. Anthony Volpe has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.6-mph dropping to 78-mph in the last 7 days. Anthony Volpe has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .292 rate is deflated compared to his .337 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hunter Renfroe will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Hunter Renfroe's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls of late (17° over the last 14 days) is a considerable increase over his 10.4° seasonal mark.

Harrison Bader is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Harrison Bader's launch angle this year (20.8°) is quite a bit higher than his 16.6° figure last season. Compared to his seasonal figure of 20.2°, Harrison Bader has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (10°) in the last two weeks' worth of games.

The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). When it comes to his batting average, Jose Trevino has had some very poor luck this year. His .214 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .263.

The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Eduardo Escobar will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Taylor Ward's batting average ability is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Taylor Ward is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Taylor Ward will hold that advantage today. In the past week's worth of games, Taylor Ward's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.7% up to 14.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects DJ LeMahieu in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. DJ LeMahieu is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Over the last 7 days, DJ LeMahieu's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.2% down to 0%. DJ LeMahieu has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.2-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 90.2-mph figure.

Mike Moustakas is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Mike Moustakas will have the handedness advantage against Luis Severino in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Mike Moustakas will hold that advantage today. Mike Moustakas has made significant gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 8.9% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past week.

The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Kyle Higashioka's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 40.9% to 48.1%. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Kyle Higashioka has had bad variance on his side this year. His .283 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .323. Kyle Higashioka's 12.5% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) ranks in the 82nd percentile this year. Kyle Higashioka's 95.1-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable stat to evaluate power) is in the 83rd percentile this year.

The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Matt Thaiss will have the handedness advantage against Luis Severino in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Matt Thaiss will hold that advantage today. Matt Thaiss has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 109.3-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal EV of 92.2-mph. Posting a 1.74 K/BB rate this year, Matt Thaiss has demonstrated good plate discipline, grading out in the 81st percentile.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.