New York @ Colorado Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Harrison Bader in the 23rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Harrison Bader is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in today's game, which would be a downgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report expects the driest conditions of all games on the slate today at 36%. Connor Seabold will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Harrison Bader in today's game. Out of every team today, the 5th-best infield defense belongs to the Colorado Rockies.

Anthony Volpe is projected to hit 8th in the lineup today. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report expects the driest conditions of all games on the slate today at 36%. Connor Seabold will have the handedness advantage against Anthony Volpe today. Typically, hitters like Anthony Volpe who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Connor Seabold. Out of every team today, the 5th-best infield defense belongs to the Colorado Rockies.

Ezequiel Tovar is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report expects the driest conditions of all games on the slate today at 36%. Clarke Schmidt will hold the platoon advantage against Ezequiel Tovar in today's game. Compared to his seasonal mark of 11.7°, Ezequiel Tovar's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls has dropped significantly in recent games (3.7° in the past 14 days). Ezequiel Tovar has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .312 figure is a fair amount higher than his .298 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report expects the driest conditions of all games on the slate today at 36%. Clarke Schmidt will have the handedness advantage over Kris Bryant in today's matchup. Kris Bryant has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 5.6% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past week. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.240) implies that Kris Bryant has had positive variance on his side this year with his .261 actual batting average.

Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report expects the driest conditions of all games on the slate today at 36%. Connor Seabold will have the handedness advantage over Gleyber Torres in today's game. Out of every team today, the 5th-best infield defense belongs to the Colorado Rockies. Gleyber Torres will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Gleyber Torres has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 7.5% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the last week.

Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report expects the driest conditions of all games on the slate today at 36%. Connor Seabold will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against DJ LeMahieu in today's game. Out of every team today, the 5th-best infield defense belongs to the Colorado Rockies. DJ LeMahieu is an extreme groundball hitter and squares off against the weak infield defense of Colorado (#28-worst of the day). Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for DJ LeMahieu today.

Harold Castro is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup. 23% of the time that Harold Castro has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been pinch hit for. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report expects the driest conditions of all games on the slate today at 36%. Harold Castro's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 18.1% to 11.1%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.253) may lead us to conclude that Harold Castro has experienced some positive variance this year with his .281 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Billy McKinney in the 23rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Billy McKinney is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this matchup. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report expects the driest conditions of all games on the slate today at 36%. Out of every team today, the 5th-best infield defense belongs to the Colorado Rockies. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Billy McKinney in today's game.

Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report expects the driest conditions of all games on the slate today at 36%. Connor Seabold will hold the platoon advantage over Josh Donaldson in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the 5th-best infield defense belongs to the Colorado Rockies. Josh Donaldson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Josh Donaldson's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off recently, falling from 30% on the season to 5.9% in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Rizzo in the 9th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report expects the driest conditions of all games on the slate today at 36%. Out of every team today, the 5th-best infield defense belongs to the Colorado Rockies. Anthony Rizzo will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Anthony Rizzo's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.8% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jurickson Profar in the 12th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report expects the driest conditions of all games on the slate today at 36%. The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will lose the platoon advantage while batting from his weak side (0) today against Clarke Schmidt Jurickson Profar's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 88-mph mark last season has lowered to 85.9-mph. Over the past week, Jurickson Profar's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 85.9 mph to 80.1 mph.

Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report expects the driest conditions of all games on the slate today at 36%. Connor Seabold will hold the platoon advantage against Giancarlo Stanton in today's game. Out of every team today, the 5th-best infield defense belongs to the Colorado Rockies. Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Giancarlo Stanton in today's game. Giancarlo Stanton's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, falling from 13.1% on the season to 0% in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elias Diaz in the 10th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report expects the driest conditions of all games on the slate today at 36%. Clarke Schmidt will hold the platoon advantage over Elias Diaz in today's matchup. Over the last 14 days, Elias Diaz's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.4% down to 0%. Elias Diaz has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .329 figure is considerably higher than his .291 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Nolan Jones's BABIP talent is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Coors Field projects as the #1 park in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Nolan Jones will have the handedness advantage against Clarke Schmidt in today's matchup. Nolan Jones will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report expects the driest conditions of all games on the slate today at 36%. Ryan McMahon has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 12.8% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past week. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Ryan McMahon has experienced some positive variance this year. His .347 mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .322.

The #1 stadium in the game for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Kyle Higashioka's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 40.9% to 48.5%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.330) suggests that Kyle Higashioka has had bad variance on his side this year with his .293 actual wOBA. Kyle Higashioka's 11.1% Barrel% (a reliable metric to evaluate power) is in the 79th percentile since the start of last season.

The #1 stadium in the game for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. As it relates to his batting average, Jose Trevino has had some very poor luck this year. His .211 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .265.

Alan Trejo has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

C.J. Cron has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Austin Wynns has not yet played a game this season.

Randal Grichuk has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.