Detroit @ Seattle props

Eric Haase pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Eric Haase has been unlucky this year, posting a .240 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .299 — a .059 gap.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles T-Mobile Park as the 2nd-worst venue in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits. T-Mobile Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which often leads to worse offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Michael Lorenzen will have the handedness advantage against Julio Rodriguez in today's game. Over the last 7 days, Julio Rodriguez's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.8% down to 0%.

Akil Baddoo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against George Kirby today. Akil Baddoo has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Akil Baddoo's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 88.1-mph now compared to just 85-mph then. Akil Baddoo has shown favorable plate discipline this year, ranking in the 91st percentile with a 1.54 K/BB rate.

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield in the league — generally good for home runs. Kolten Wong will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Lorenzen in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among every team today. Kolten Wong will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Despite posting a .215 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Kolten Wong has been unlucky given the .098 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .313.

When assessing his BABIP talent, Riley Greene is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield in the league — generally good for home runs. Riley Greene will hold the platoon advantage over George Kirby in today's matchup. In the past 7 days, Riley Greene's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.1% up to 40%.

Jarred Kelenic is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield in the league — generally good for home runs. Jarred Kelenic will have the handedness advantage against Michael Lorenzen in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among every team today. Jarred Kelenic will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (36.9% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among every team today. Cal Raleigh will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Cal Raleigh's launch angle recently (30.3° over the last 14 days) is a significant increase over his 18.7° seasonal mark. Cal Raleigh has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .307 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .341 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield in the league — generally good for home runs. In the past week, Spencer Torkelson's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.2% up to 40%. Spencer Torkelson has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 104.3-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 92.5-mph EV.

Mike Ford will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Lorenzen today. Mike Ford pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.3% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among every team today. Mike Ford will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Mike Ford has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 91.5-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 89.1-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Baez in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Javier Baez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield in the league — generally good for home runs. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Javier Baez's 20.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 11.3%. Despite posting a .256 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Javier Baez has had some very poor luck given the .052 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .308.

Zach McKinstry is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield in the league — generally good for home runs. Zach McKinstry will have the handedness advantage over George Kirby in today's game. Zach McKinstry's launch angle of late (28.1° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is considerably higher than his 18.8° seasonal angle. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Zach McKinstry has had bad variance on his side this year. His .307 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .343.

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield in the league — generally good for home runs. Andy Ibanez has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .298 rate is a fair amount lower than his .326 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Andy Ibanez ranks in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (22.1% rate this year).

When assessing his BABIP ability, Teoscar Hernandez is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield in the league — generally good for home runs. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among every team today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Teoscar Hernandez will hold that advantage in today's game.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Eugenio Suarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among every team today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Eugenio Suarez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Eugenio Suarez's launch angle recently (65° over the past week) is considerably better than his 19.2° seasonal figure.

Jake Rogers has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Matt Vierling has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

J.P. Crawford has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Ty France has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.