Baltimore @ New York Picks & Props

Anthony Santander's BABIP talent is projected in the 5th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #5 stadium in the game for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which often leads to worse offense. The switch-hitting Anthony Santander will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Luis Severino The New York Yankees infield defense grades out as the 11th-worst out of all the teams today.

The #5 stadium in the game for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium. In the majors, Yankee Stadium's centerfield fences are the 5th-deepest. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which often leads to worse offense. The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Luis Severino The New York Yankees infield defense grades out as the 11th-worst out of all the teams today.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 83°. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense profiles as the 6th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Giancarlo Stanton will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Jordan Westburg's BABIP talent is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 84°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Gleyber Torres is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 84°. Gleyber Torres has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Gleyber Torres will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Anthony Volpe has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (68% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 84°. Anthony Volpe will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Anthony Volpe has seen a big gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.4-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 89.7-mph mark. Over the past 14 days, Anthony Volpe's 57.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.6%.

Anthony Rizzo is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 84°. Anthony Rizzo will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Bradish today. Anthony Rizzo pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.9% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Anthony Rizzo will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins II in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Cedric Mullins II is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 84°. Cedric Mullins II will have the handedness advantage against Luis Severino today. Cedric Mullins II pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 84°. Billy McKinney will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Bradish today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Billy McKinney will hold that advantage in today's game. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Billy McKinney has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .252 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .292.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 84°. Jose Trevino will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Jose Trevino has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 96.7-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 88.4-mph. As it relates to his batting average, Jose Trevino has experienced some negative variance this year. His .212 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .268.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 84°. Gunnar Henderson will have the handedness advantage against Luis Severino in today's matchup. In the last 14 days, Gunnar Henderson's 60% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.7%.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 84°. Ramon Urias has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Ramon Urias has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph to 92.8-mph in the last two weeks. Posting a .348 BABIP this year, Ramon Urias grades out in the 84th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects DJ LeMahieu in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 84°. DJ LeMahieu has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (45%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. DJ LeMahieu will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. DJ LeMahieu has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .219 BA is considerably lower than his .253 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Donaldson in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Josh Donaldson is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 84°. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Josh Donaldson will hold that advantage today. Josh Donaldson has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 9.9% rate last season to 22% this year.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 84°. Adam Frazier will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Severino today. Adam Frazier's launch angle lately (39.3° over the last week) is quite a bit higher than his 13.4° seasonal angle. Compared to last season, Adam Frazier has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 14.4% to 17.8% this season. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.287) suggests that Adam Frazier has been unlucky this year with his .226 actual batting average.

Harrison Bader is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 84°. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Harrison Bader will hold that advantage in today's game. Harrison Bader's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 15.5% to 21.8%.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 83°. Aaron Hicks pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.9% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Aaron Hicks has exhibited good plate discipline this year, placing in the 81st percentile with a 1.74 K/BB rate.

Jake Bauers is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 83°. Jake Bauers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Bradish in today's matchup. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense profiles as the 6th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Jake Bauers will hold that advantage in today's game.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Ryan O'Hearn has gone over 1.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.