St. Louis @ Miami Picks & Props

LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching. Adam Wainwright will hold the platoon advantage against Garrett Cooper in today's matchup. Garrett Cooper has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-deepest RF fences today. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense profiles as the 4th-best among all the teams today.

Jean Segura is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today's game. LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching. Adam Wainwright will have the handedness advantage against Jean Segura in today's game. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense profiles as the 4th-best among all the teams today.

The #8 ballpark in baseball for boosting BABIP to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Paul DeJong will have the handedness advantage over Jesus Luzardo today... and the cherry on top, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Paul DeJong has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 10.8% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the last 7 days. Paul DeJong has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100.5-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 93-mph. Paul DeJong's launch angle lately (5° in the last week) is considerably worse than his 20.2° seasonal mark.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Dylan Carlson ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #8 ballpark in baseball for boosting BABIP to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The 5th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks are found in LoanDepot Park. The switch-hitting Dylan Carlson will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Jesus Luzardo... and even better, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Over the past 14 days, Dylan Carlson's 27.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.8%.

The #8 ballpark in baseball for boosting BABIP to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Nick Fortes will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the last 14 days, Nick Fortes has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 4.5% to 10.5%. In the past two weeks, Nick Fortes's 31.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15%. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Nick Fortes's true offensive skill to be a .313, providing some evidence that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .053 deviation between that figure and his actual .260 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Edman in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Tommy Edman is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The #8 ballpark in baseball for boosting BABIP to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The 5th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks are found in LoanDepot Park. The switch-hitting Tommy Edman will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Jesus Luzardo... and even better, Luzardo has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 8th-best ballpark in the league for LHB BABIP. Lars Nootbaar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Sporting a 1.33 K/BB rate this year, Lars Nootbaar has shown strong plate discipline, ranking in the 94th percentile.

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The #8 ballpark in baseball for boosting BABIP to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Nolan Arenado will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Over the last week, Nolan Arenado's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8% up to 13.3%. Compared to his seasonal average of 18°, Nolan Arenado has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 25.3° angle in the past 14 days.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jorge Soler ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Soler is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. The #8 ballpark in baseball for boosting BABIP to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Jorge Soler will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Jorge Soler has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.6-mph to 96.1-mph over the last 7 days.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Paul Goldschmidt ranks as the 12th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. The #8 ballpark in baseball for boosting BABIP to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The 5th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks are found in LoanDepot Park. Paul Goldschmidt will have the handedness advantage over Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Luzardo has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Jordan Walker is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season. The #8 ballpark in baseball for boosting BABIP to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Jordan Walker will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Jordan Walker hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Willson Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. The #8 ballpark in baseball for boosting BABIP to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Willson Contreras will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and the cherry on top, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Over the past two weeks, Willson Contreras's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.4-mph over the course of the season to 98.5-mph in recent games.

Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 8th-best ballpark in the league for LHB BABIP. Jesus Sanchez will hold the platoon advantage over Adam Wainwright today. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jesus Sanchez stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Jesus Sanchez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The #8 ballpark in baseball for boosting BABIP to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Andrew Knizner will have the handedness advantage over Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and even better, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Andrew Knizner has made big gains with his Barrel%, upping his 3.5% rate last year to 11% this season. This season, Andrew Knizner has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.8 mph compared to last year's 87.5 mph mark. Andrew Knizner's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 12.6% to 16.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Wendle in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 8th-best ballpark in the league for LHB BABIP. Joey Wendle will hold the platoon advantage over Adam Wainwright in today's matchup. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Joey Wendle can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Joey Wendle will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Bryan De La Cruz has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Jacob Stallings has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Brendan Donovan has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Luis Arraez has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.