Baltimore @ New York Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Gunnar Henderson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Clarke Schmidt today. Gunnar Henderson has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 12.8% seasonal rate to 20% in the last 7 days.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Oswaldo Cabrera pulls many of his flyballs (34.7% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Oswaldo Cabrera will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Oswaldo Cabrera's true offensive skill to be a .309, providing some evidence that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .058 deviation between that figure and his actual .251 wOBA.

Jordan Westburg's BABIP talent is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Ranking in the 95th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.36 ft/sec this year, Jordan Westburg is remarkably quick.

Yankee Stadium grades out as the #22 park in the league for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Yankee Stadium's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to worse offense. Kyle Gibson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gleyber Torres in today's game. Gleyber Torres's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 91.8-mph seasonal average has dropped to 87.3-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games. In the last week's worth of games, Gleyber Torres's 6.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.4%.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Cedric Mullins II ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Cedric Mullins II is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Cedric Mullins II will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Clarke Schmidt in today's game. Cedric Mullins II pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Aaron Hicks pulls many of his flyballs (38.6% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. With a 1.77 K/BB rate this year, Aaron Hicks has demonstrated good plate discipline, placing in the 80th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Adley Rutschman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 13.7% to 21.1%. Adley Rutschman has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .349 mark is a fair amount lower than his .372 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Giancarlo Stanton will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Anthony Rizzo is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Anthony Rizzo will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's matchup. Anthony Rizzo pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Last year, James McCann had an average launch angle of 14.1° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 17.3°. James McCann has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .195 rate is deflated compared to his .247 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. The standard deviation of James McCann's launch angle since the start of last season (25.9°) is in the 87th percentile. A low mark like this tends to lead to a higher batting average on balls in play. Checking in at the 82nd percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season, James McCann demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - an important talent for achieving a high batting average.

Harrison Bader is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Harrison Bader will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Harrison Bader's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 15.5% to 21.9%.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Jorge Mateo has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .269 rate is quite a bit lower than his .331 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Ranking in the 99th percentile for Sprint Speed at 30 ft/sec this year, Jorge Mateo is very quick.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Adam Frazier will have the handedness advantage over Clarke Schmidt today. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.5°, Adam Frazier has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 53° mark over the last week. Compared to last season, Adam Frazier has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 14.4% to 17.6% this season. Adam Frazier has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .226 BA is significantly deflated relative to his .285 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Anthony Santander pulls many of his flyballs (39.2% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Compared to his seasonal average of 22.4°, Anthony Santander has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 27.7° angle over the past two weeks.

Jake Bauers is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Jake Bauers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's matchup. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jake Bauers will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Anthony Volpe will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Anthony Volpe has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.8-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 89.8-mph EV. Anthony Volpe's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, rising from 47.8% on the season to 63% in the past two weeks.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Jose Trevino will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.266) implies that Jose Trevino has experienced some negative variance this year with his .210 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Donaldson in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Josh Donaldson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Josh Donaldson has made substantial strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 9.9% rate last season to 23.2% this season. Josh Donaldson has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 101.4-mph average to last season's 94.7-mph figure.

DJ LeMahieu has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Ryan O'Hearn has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.