New York @ St. Louis Picks & Props

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hurlers. In today's game, Brendan Donovan is at a disadvantage facing the league's 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 38.5% rate (94th percentile).

The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Billy McKinney has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 106-mph average in the past week to his seasonal EV of 94.2-mph. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Billy McKinney since the start of last season. His .259 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .299.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects DJ LeMahieu in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. DJ LeMahieu is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. DJ LeMahieu will hold the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.253) implies that DJ LeMahieu has been unlucky this year with his .227 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Carlson in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Dylan Carlson will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Dylan Carlson's launch angle lately (35° in the past week) is a considerable increase over his 13.3° seasonal figure.

Batters such as Paul DeJong with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Jimmy Cordero who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Paul DeJong will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Paul DeJong has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 11.1% seasonal rate to 19% over the last 14 days. Compared to last season, Paul DeJong has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 13.5% to 19% this season.

Harrison Bader is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Harrison Bader will have the handedness advantage over Matthew Liberatore in today's game. Harrison Bader hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Harrison Bader's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls recently (17.8° in the last week's worth of games) is a considerable increase over his 13.8° seasonal angle. Harrison Bader's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 15.5% to 23.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Edman in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Tommy Edman will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Tommy Edman has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.8-mph to 92.2-mph in the past 14 days. Tommy Edman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 11.4% to 15.8%. When it comes to his batting average, Tommy Edman has been unlucky this year. His .232 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .258.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Gleyber Torres will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore today. Compared to his seasonal average of 15°, Gleyber Torres has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 22.5° figure in the past two weeks' worth of games. In terms of his batting average, Gleyber Torres has had bad variance on his side this year. His .248 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .282.

Nolan Gorman is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Nolan Gorman will have the handedness advantage against Jimmy Cordero in today's matchup. Hitters such as Nolan Gorman with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Jimmy Cordero who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Nolan Gorman will hold that advantage today. In the last two weeks, Nolan Gorman has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 30.6° compared to his seasonal mark of 18.6°.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Giancarlo Stanton will have the handedness advantage against Matthew Liberatore in today's game. Giancarlo Stanton's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, rising from 12.8% on the season to 25% over the past 7 days. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.246) implies that Giancarlo Stanton since the start of last season with his .208 actual batting average.

Kyle Higashioka will hold the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore in today's matchup. Kyle Higashioka's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 40.9% to 47.7%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.237) provides evidence that Kyle Higashioka has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .222 actual batting average. Since the start of last season, Kyle Higashioka's 11.3% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 80th percentile among his peers. Since the start of last season, Kyle Higashioka's flyball exit velocity (an advanced standard to evaluate power) is in the 93rd percentile at 95.7 mph.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Paul Goldschmidt ranks as the 12th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage today. Paul Goldschmidt has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.6-mph average to last season's 90.8-mph average. Paul Goldschmidt has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 99.7-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 93.6-mph figure.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Josh Donaldson ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Donaldson is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Josh Donaldson will hold the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore today. Josh Donaldson has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 9.9% rate last season to 24.5% this season. Josh Donaldson has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 24.5% seasonal rate to 37.5% over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Lars Nootbaar will have the handedness advantage against Jimmy Cordero in today's game. Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Lars Nootbaar will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Anthony Volpe will have the handedness advantage over Matthew Liberatore in today's game. In the past 14 days, Anthony Volpe's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.8%. Anthony Volpe has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .212 BA is a fair amount lower than his .248 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Jordan Walker will hold that advantage in today's game. Jordan Walker has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 92.7-mph mark. In notching a .298 batting average this year, Jordan Walker has performed in the 94th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Willson Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Willson Contreras will hold that advantage today. Willson Contreras has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.2-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 95.4-mph. In the past week's worth of games, Willson Contreras's 64.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.6%.

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Nolan Arenado tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Jimmy Cordero. Nolan Arenado will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Nolan Arenado has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 8.3% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the last two weeks. Nolan Arenado has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97.8-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal mark of 91.9-mph.

Jake Bauers has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Jose Trevino has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Anthony Rizzo has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Alec Burleson has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.