San Francisco @ Toronto Picks & Props

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Joc Pederson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Joc Pederson is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Joc Pederson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's game. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Joc Pederson has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Joc Pederson hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 78th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.

The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre. Daulton Varsho will have the handedness advantage over Ryan Walker in today's matchup... and even better, Walker has a large platoon split. Among all the teams playing today, the 7th-weakest infield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage in today's matchup. There has been a significant improvement in Daulton Varsho's launch angle from last year's 14.5° to 18.2° this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Whit Merrifield in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre. Among all the teams playing today, the 7th-weakest infield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants. Whit Merrifield will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Whit Merrifield's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 42.5% to 48.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thairo Estrada in the 75th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Thairo Estrada is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre. Over the past 7 days, Thairo Estrada's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.1% up to 11.1%. Thairo Estrada's launch angle of late (33.7° in the last week's worth of games) is significantly better than his 11.4° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Belt in the 79th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Brandon Belt is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre. Brandon Belt will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Walker in today's matchup... and even better, Walker has a large platoon split. Extreme groundball batters like Brandon Belt usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Keaton Winn.

Luis Matos's batting average skill is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Luis Matos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. A consistent launch angle is an indicator of good hitting, and Luis Matos has been very consistent with his of late, posting a 33.9° launch angle standard deviation in the last two weeks.

Patrick Bailey is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 93% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre. Patrick Bailey has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 93.4-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal EV of 91.1-mph.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Matt Chapman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Matt Chapman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Extreme flyball batters like Matt Chapman tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Keaton Winn. Among all the teams playing today, the 7th-weakest infield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants.

Alejandro Kirk's batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre. Among all the teams playing today, the 7th-weakest infield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants. Alejandro Kirk will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Alejandro Kirk's true offensive ability to be a .336, suggesting that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .035 gap between that mark and his actual .301 wOBA.

The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre. Brandon Crawford will have the handedness advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's game. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Crawford stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Brandon Crawford has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph to 94.7-mph in the past 7 days. Despite posting a .287 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Brandon Crawford has suffered from bad luck given the .026 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .313.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 78th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre. Among all the teams playing today, the 7th-weakest infield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Santiago Espinal will hold that advantage today. With a .269 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Santiago Espinal has performed in the 78th percentile.

Extreme flyball batters like Danny Jansen tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Keaton Winn. Among all the teams playing today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants. Danny Jansen will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blake Sabol in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre. Blake Sabol will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Bassitt in today's game. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Blake Sabol can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Blake Sabol has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 12.7% seasonal rate to 25% in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Slater as the 8th-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP ability. Austin Slater hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Austin Slater has posted a .350 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 89th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Based on Statcast metrics, Austin Slater is in the 94th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .289. Posting a .355 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Austin Slater is ranked in the 92nd percentile.

J.D. Davis has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Michael Conforto has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Bo Bichette has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Cavan Biggio has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

George Springer has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

LaMonte Wade Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.