Detroit @ Texas Picks & Props

Andy Ibanez's BABIP skill is projected in the 25th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). This year, Andy Ibanez has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 54% of his appearances when starting against left-handed pitcher. Globe Life Field ranks as the #26 park in the majors for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -6° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Andy Ibanez hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and but may find it hard to clear MLB's 6th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.

10% of the time that Matt Vierling has started against a left-handed starter this year, he has been pulled from the game early. Globe Life Field ranks as the #26 park in the majors for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Globe Life Field has the 10th-most fair ground among all stadiums — generally bad for dingers. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -6° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching. The Texas Rangers outfield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams playing today.

The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the weakest among every team in action today. Robbie Grossman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Robbie Grossman's launch angle lately (23.3° over the past two weeks) is significantly better than his 19.7° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the weakest among every team in action today. Ezequiel Duran will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Ezequiel Duran has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.1-mph average to last season's 85.4-mph mark. Ezequiel Duran has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.4-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 91.1-mph average.

Jonah Heim has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (91% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the weakest among every team in action today. Jonah Heim will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Jonah Heim has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.1-mph average to last season's 90-mph figure. Jonah Heim's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 13.4% to 21.7%.

Travis Jankowski will have the handedness advantage over Matt Manning in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the weakest among every team in action today. Travis Jankowski will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Travis Jankowski has exhibited favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 96th percentile with a 1.31 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the weakest among every team in action today. Adolis Garcia will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Adolis Garcia has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 15.2% seasonal rate to 25% over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Baez in the 79th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Javier Baez is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Javier Baez will hold the platoon advantage against Martin Perez in today's matchup. Javier Baez has been unlucky this year, compiling a .262 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .310 — a .048 gap.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 80th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the weakest among every team in action today. Leody Taveras will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Leody Taveras's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, going from 48.9% on the season to 69.2% in the past week's worth of games. Leody Taveras has posted a .289 batting average this year, grading out in the 89th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Josh Jung is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the weakest among every team in action today. Josh Jung will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Josh Jung has notched a .342 BABIP this year, checking in at the 84th percentile.

Jake Marisnick will hold the platoon advantage over Martin Perez today. Jake Marisnick is notably athletic, ranking in the 87th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.68 ft/sec this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Spencer Torkelson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Martin Perez in today's game. Spencer Torkelson has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 96.3-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 92.4-mph. Spencer Torkelson's launch angle recently (23.2° in the last 14 days) is considerably higher than his 17.4° seasonal mark.

Tyler Nevin will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Martin Perez in today's game. The Barrel% of Tyler Nevin has significantly improved, with an increase from 3.5% last year to 10% this season. Tyler Nevin has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.2-mph average to last season's 89.4-mph mark. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.272) provides evidence that Tyler Nevin has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .247 actual wOBA.

Jonathan Schoop is penciled in 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Jonathan Schoop will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Martin Perez today. Jonathan Schoop has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 89.1-mph average to last year's 86.8-mph mark. Jonathan Schoop has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .241 mark is a fair amount lower than his .298 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Eric Haase is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Eric Haase will have the handedness advantage against Martin Perez in today's matchup. Eric Haase has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 102.6-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal mark of 89.5-mph. Eric Haase has been unlucky this year, putting up a .263 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .302 — a .039 deviation.

Jake Rogers will hold the platoon advantage against Martin Perez in today's game. Jake Rogers's average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 90.4-mph seasonal average has lowered to 85.5-mph over the past 7 days. Jake Rogers has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .191 mark is a fair amount lower than his .228 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Marcus Semien has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Nathaniel Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Zack Short has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Mitch Garver has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Zach McKinstry has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Corey Seager has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Josh H. Smith has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.