San Francisco @ Toronto Picks & Props

Rogers Centre grades out as the #28 stadium in the league for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). George Springer will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against today... and even more favorably, has a huge platoon split. George Springer's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (7.8°) is considerably lower than his 11.5° mark last year. George Springer's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined lately, going from 43.6% on the season to 35.3% in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Michael Conforto is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Rogers Centre has the 4th-least fair ground in MLB — generally good for dingers. This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Michael Conforto will have the handedness advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thairo Estrada in the 75th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Rogers Centre has the 4th-least fair ground in MLB — generally good for dingers. This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Thairo Estrada's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 14.2% to 19.1%. Thairo Estrada has put up a .334 BABIP this year, grading out in the 79th percentile.

Rogers Centre has the 4th-least fair ground in MLB — generally good for dingers. This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Patrick Bailey has been hot of late, batting his way to a .380 wOBA over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. This game is expected to have the 5th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Kiermaier in today's matchup... and it's a particular mismatch considering 's huge platoon split. Kevin Kiermaier hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The San Francisco Giants infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blake Sabol in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Blake Sabol has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (76% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Rogers Centre has the 4th-least fair ground in MLB — generally good for dingers. This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Blake Sabol will hold the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Joc Pederson is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Joc Pederson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Joc Pederson has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Rogers Centre has the 4th-least fair ground in MLB — generally good for dingers. This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Brandon Crawford will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's matchup. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Crawford can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brandon Crawford's true offensive skill to be a .317, suggesting that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .030 disparity between that figure and his actual .287 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Matos in the 82nd percentile when assessing his batting average talent. This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Luis Matos hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 78th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. A consistent launch angle is a proxy for good hitting, and Luis Matos has been very consistent with his in recent games, putting up a 33.5° launch angle standard deviation in the past two weeks.

Rogers Centre has the 4th-least fair ground in MLB — generally good for dingers. This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. will have the handedness advantage over Daulton Varsho in today's matchup... and it's an even larger mismatch considering 's huge platoon split. The San Francisco Giants infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of every team today. Daulton Varsho will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Rogers Centre has the 4th-least fair ground in MLB — generally good for dingers. This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Extreme groundball bats like Danny Jansen tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Ryan Walker. The San Francisco Giants infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of every team today. Danny Jansen will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Matt Chapman is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Matt Chapman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Hitters such as Matt Chapman with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Ryan Walker who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Whit Merrifield in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Rogers Centre has the 4th-least fair ground in MLB — generally good for dingers. This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The San Francisco Giants infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of every team today. Whit Merrifield will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Rogers Centre has the 4th-least fair ground in MLB — generally good for dingers. This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. will hold the platoon advantage over Cavan Biggio in today's matchup... and it's an even larger mismatch considering 's huge platoon split. The San Francisco Giants infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of every team today. Cavan Biggio will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Belt in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Brandon Belt has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (57% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Rogers Centre has the 4th-least fair ground in MLB — generally good for dingers. This game is expected to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Belt in today's matchup... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering 's huge platoon split.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

J.D. Davis has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Bo Bichette has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

LaMonte Wade Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.