
Mariners vs Blue Jays Home Run Picks & Best Bets for ALCS Game 2
Total PicksDET 172, TEX 494
Total PicksDET 32, TEX 129
Total PicksDET 24, TEX 85
Globe Life Field ranks as the #26 ballpark in the league for RHB BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. Globe Life Field has the 6th-deepest centerfield dimensions in the majors. The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -7° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching. In the last 14 days, Marcus Semien's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.1% down to 0%. Marcus Semien's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 89.9-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 86.8-mph in the past 7 days.
Globe Life Field ranks as the #26 ballpark in the league for RHB BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -7° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching. Josh Jung hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Over the past 14 days, Josh Jung's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.7% down to 6.5%. Josh Jung has been lucky this year, posting a .352 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .329 — a .023 discrepancy.
Globe Life Field profiles as the #26 stadium in the league for LHB BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Globe Life Field has the 6th-deepest centerfield dimensions in the majors. The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -7° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching. Matthew Boyd will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Corey Seager in today's game... and it's a particular mismatch considering Boyd's huge platoon split. Corey Seager has been lucky this year, posting a .433 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .387 — a .046 gap.
Jake Marisnick will have the handedness advantage against Andrew Heaney in today's game... and even better, Heaney has a large platoon split. Jake Marisnick is notably fast, placing in the 87th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.68 ft/sec this year.
THE BAT X projects Javier Baez in the 80th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Javier Baez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Javier Baez will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew Heaney today... and moreover, Heaney has a large platoon split. Javier Baez has been unlucky this year, notching a .266 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .310 — a .044 deviation.
THE BAT X projects Spencer Torkelson in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Spencer Torkelson is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Spencer Torkelson will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew Heaney in today's matchup... and moreover, Heaney has a large platoon split. Spencer Torkelson has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .293 figure is a good deal lower than his .335 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).
Eric Haase is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Eric Haase will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Heaney in today's matchup... and moreover, Heaney has a large platoon split. Eric Haase has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 102.6-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 89.5-mph. Eric Haase's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, rising from 47% on the season to 70% over the last two weeks. Eric Haase has been unlucky this year, putting up a .260 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .302 — a .042 discrepancy.
Zack Short has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (87% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. Zack Short will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Heaney in today's game... and even better, Heaney has a large platoon split. Zack Short's launch angle lately (27.5° over the past 14 days) is a significant increase over his 19.3° seasonal figure.
THE BAT X projects Mitch Garver in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Mitch Garver will have the handedness advantage over Matthew Boyd in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Boyd has a huge platoon split. Mitch Garver will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Mitch Garver has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 8.8% rate last season to 15.9% this year. Mitch Garver has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 15.9% seasonal rate to 30% in the past 7 days.
THE BAT X projects Matt Vierling in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Matt Vierling is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Matt Vierling will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew Heaney in today's game... and the cherry on top, Heaney has a large platoon split. Matt Vierling has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.4-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 91.6-mph average.
THE BAT X projects Adolis Garcia in the 78th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Adolis Garcia will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd today... and even better, Boyd has a huge platoon split. Adolis Garcia will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Adolis Garcia has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 14.4% seasonal rate has fallen off to 7.7% in the last week's worth of games.
The switch-hitting Jonah Heim will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Matthew Boyd... and even better, Boyd has a huge platoon split. Jonah Heim will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Jonah Heim's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 13.4% to 21.1%. Jonah Heim's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, increasing from 21.1% on the season to 28.6% over the past week. Jonah Heim has put up a .280 batting average this year, placing in the 82nd percentile.
THE BAT X projects Leody Taveras in the 80th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The switch-hitting Leody Taveras will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Matthew Boyd... and even better, Boyd has a huge platoon split. Leody Taveras will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Leody Taveras's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, increasing from 48% on the season to 61.5% in the past two weeks' worth of games. Leody Taveras has posted a .311 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 98th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).
Jake Rogers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Heaney in today's matchup... and moreover, Heaney has a large platoon split. Jake Rogers has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .180 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .225 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).
THE BAT X projects Ezequiel Duran in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Ezequiel Duran will hold the platoon advantage over Matthew Boyd in today's matchup... and moreover, Boyd has a huge platoon split. Ezequiel Duran will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Ezequiel Duran has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.9-mph average to last year's 85.4-mph figure. Ezequiel Duran's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 9.1% to 18.1%.
Jonathan Schoop will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Heaney today... and even more favorably, Heaney has a large platoon split. Jonathan Schoop has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 89.1-mph average to last year's 86.8-mph mark. Jonathan Schoop has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .247 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .299 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).
Andy Ibanez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (69% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Andy Ibanez will have the handedness advantage against Andrew Heaney in today's game... and the cherry on top, Heaney has a large platoon split. Andy Ibanez has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.8-mph average to last year's 92.8-mph figure. Andy Ibanez has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .288 rate is a fair amount lower than his .341 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).
Nick Maton has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.
Nathaniel Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.
Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
---|---|---|---|
1 | salgundy | 2-8-0 | +20490 |
2 | PaPe454 | 8-2-0 | +19591 |
3 | WiNNipeg1973 | 6-4-0 | +18000 |
4 | vlkvlk2012 | 6-4-0 | +16650 |
5 | redwingfanattic | 4-6-0 | +16615 |
6 | unbuckle | 7-3-0 | +16170 |
7 | greekbanker | 1-9-0 | +15215 |
8 | jakringle | 6-4-0 | +15215 |
9 | Brayy_Wyatt | 4-6-0 | +15125 |
10 | DenverFlash | 7-3-0 | +15069 |
All Tigers Money Leaders |
Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
---|---|---|---|
1 | KingScorpio | 7-3-0 | +24325 |
2 | mojonaciosoy | 8-2-0 | +20585 |
3 | bigosports12 | 7-3-0 | +19655 |
4 | hennryh | 7-3-0 | +17895 |
5 | Whiteyr | 4-6-0 | +17780 |
6 | MexicanBettor | 5-5-0 | +16866 |
7 | cameleon53 | 6-4-0 | +16495 |
8 | chensucht | 6-4-0 | +15755 |
9 | DODBUCKSTEEL | 5-5-0 | +15755 |
10 | dude18555 | 6-4-0 | +15415 |
All Rangers Money Leaders |