Washington @ San Diego Picks & Props

Petco Park profiles as the #24 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to worse offense. The weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most favorable pitching conditions of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Seth Lugo will have the handedness advantage against Joey Meneses today. Joey Meneses has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and will be challenged by the league's 6th-deepest RF fences in today's game.

Jeimer Candelario is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Jeimer Candelario's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, going from 43.6% on the season to 50% in the last 14 days.

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to THE BAT X. Juan Soto is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Juan Soto stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Juan Soto will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Trent Grisham in the 79th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Petco Park has the 3rd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Trent Grisham has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Trent Grisham will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Trent Grisham has made significant gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 8.7% rate last year to 15.7% this season.

THE BAT X projects Jake Cronenworth in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Cronenworth has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Jake Cronenworth hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Jake Cronenworth will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Jake Cronenworth has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 89.8-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 87.2-mph average.

Keibert Ruiz hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Keibert Ruiz's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, increasing from 44.6% on the season to 54.1% in the last 14 days. Keibert Ruiz has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .236 BA is a good deal lower than his .278 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Keibert Ruiz has exhibited favorable plate discipline this year, ranking in the 89th percentile with a 1.48 K/BB rate.

THE BAT X projects Derek Hill in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

THE BAT X projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Xander Bogaerts will have the handedness advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's game. Xander Bogaerts will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Xander Bogaerts has displayed impressive plate discipline this year, checking in at the 86th percentile with a 1.62 K/BB rate.

Petco Park has the 3rd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Gary Sanchez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's game. Gary Sanchez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Gary Sanchez has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 104.3-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 93.6-mph.

Petco Park has the 3rd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Dominic Smith will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo in today's matchup. Dominic Smith has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 96.8-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal mark of 89.5-mph. Dominic Smith's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, rising from 16.4% on the season to 25.7% over the past two weeks. Dominic Smith has exhibited favorable plate discipline this year, grading out in the 76th percentile with a 1.83 K/BB rate.

THE BAT X projects Manny Machado in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Manny Machado is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Petco Park has the 3rd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Manny Machado will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's game. Manny Machado will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Lane Thomas in the 76th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Lane Thomas is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Lane Thomas hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Lane Thomas has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 9% seasonal rate to 17.1% in the past 14 days. Lane Thomas has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 88.3-mph figure.

CJ Abrams will have the handedness advantage against Seth Lugo today. CJ Abrams hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. CJ Abrams has made notable strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 6.2% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the last week.

Nelson Cruz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore today. Nelson Cruz will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Nelson Cruz has made significant gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 9.8% seasonal rate to 20% in the past 7 days. Nelson Cruz's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 44% to 53%. Nelson Cruz's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, going from 53% on the season to 80% in the past 7 days.

THE BAT X projects Corey Dickerson in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Corey Dickerson is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Petco Park has the 3rd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Corey Dickerson will have the handedness advantage against Seth Lugo in today's game. Corey Dickerson's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 41.7% to 46.8%.

Petco Park has the 3rd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Austin Nola will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore today. Austin Nola will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Austin Nola has been unlucky this year, putting up a .222 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .302 — a .080 discrepancy. Austin Nola has shown good plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 90th percentile with a 1.75 K/BB rate.

Luis Garcia has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Riley Adams has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Rougned Odor has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Fernando Tatis Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.