Oakland @ Toronto Picks & Props

Rogers Centre projects as the #28 venue in the majors for right-handed BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -6° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching. George Springer's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (7.7°) is quite a bit lower than his 11.5° angle last season. George Springer's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, falling from 15.4% on the season to 5.6% in the last 7 days.

Rogers Centre has the 11th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report the highest humidity on the slate today at 78%. Conner Capel will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios in today's matchup. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Conner Capel stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Ryan Noda is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Ryan Noda will have the handedness advantage against Jose Berrios in today's matchup. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Ryan Noda has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Ryan Noda pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 11th-shallowest RF fences today. Ryan Noda's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, going from 50.4% on the season to 58.6% in the past 14 days.

Tony Kemp has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (67% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Tony Kemp will have the handedness advantage against Jose Berrios in today's game. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Tony Kemp has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Tony Kemp hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 11th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Tony Kemp has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 86.8-mph average to last year's 84.2-mph average.

Daulton Varsho pulls many of his flyballs (37.8% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 11th-shallowest RF fences today. Daulton Varsho will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Daulton Varsho has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 91.2-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 87.5-mph average. Daulton Varsho's launch angle this season (17.6°) is considerably better than his 14.5° angle last season. Daulton Varsho's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, increasing from 44.8% on the season to 71.4% over the past two weeks.

THE BAT X projects Brandon Belt in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Brandon Belt has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (58% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. Brandon Belt pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 11th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Brandon Belt will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Brandon Belt has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.6-mph average to last year's 88.4-mph EV.

Jace Peterson will hold the platoon advantage over Jose Berrios in today's game. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jace Peterson stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Jace Peterson hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 11th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Jace Peterson has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .285 figure is a good deal lower than his .312 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Aledmys Diaz is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Rogers Centre has the 11th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors. Aledmys Diaz has been unlucky this year, notching a .251 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .307 — a .056 difference.

Rogers Centre has the 11th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors. Shea Langeliers has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.6-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 94.8-mph. Shea Langeliers's launch angle of late (27.9° in the past 14 days) is a significant increase over his 21.1° seasonal figure. Shea Langeliers has been unlucky this year, notching a .280 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .315 — a .035 gap. Shea Langeliers's 21.1° launch angle (a reliable metric to assess a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most flyball-inducing in the league: 97th percentile.

THE BAT X projects Matt Chapman in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Matt Chapman is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Matt Chapman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hogan Harris today. Matt Chapman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 11th-shallowest CF fences today. Matt Chapman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Seth Brown is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Seth Brown will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios in today's game. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Seth Brown stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Seth Brown hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 11th-shallowest CF fences today. Seth Brown's launch angle recently (31° in the last 7 days) is quite a bit better than his 15.9° seasonal mark.

Rogers Centre has the 11th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors. Tyler Wade will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios in today's game. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Tyler Wade has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Tyler Wade has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .211 mark is considerably lower than his .259 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Tyler Wade grades out in the 88th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (19.4% rate since the start of last season).

Rogers Centre has the 11th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors. Danny Jansen will have the handedness advantage against Hogan Harris in today's game. Danny Jansen will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Danny Jansen's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (20.3°) is quite a bit higher than his 15° figure last season. Danny Jansen's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, rising from 20.9% on the season to 35.3% in the past two weeks.

THE BAT X projects Esteury Ruiz in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Esteury Ruiz has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 11th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Esteury Ruiz has posted a .273 batting average this year, ranking in the 79th percentile.

THE BAT X projects Whit Merrifield in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Whit Merrifield will hold the platoon advantage against Hogan Harris in today's matchup. Whit Merrifield has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 11th-shallowest RF fences today. Whit Merrifield will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Whit Merrifield's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 42.5% to 49.8%.

THE BAT X projects Santiago Espinal in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Rogers Centre has the 11th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors. Santiago Espinal will hold the platoon advantage over Hogan Harris today. Santiago Espinal will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Santiago Espinal has put up a .268 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 79th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Kevin Kiermaier has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

JJ Bleday has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Bo Bichette has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.