Texas @ New York Picks & Props

Yankee Stadium ranks as the #26 ballpark in the game for righty BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. Yankee Stadium's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. Luis Severino will hold the platoon advantage over Marcus Semien in today's game. Marcus Semien pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.2% — 94th percentile) and but may find it hard to clear the game's 7th-deepest LF fences today. Marcus Semien will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

THE BAT X projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Giancarlo Stanton is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Giancarlo Stanton will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Giancarlo Stanton has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .205 mark is a good deal lower than his .249 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Josh Jung in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Josh Jung is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Josh Jung's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, rising from 50.7% on the season to 55.9% in the last 14 days. Josh Jung is in the 95th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (50.7% rate this year). Josh Jung has put up a .339 BABIP this year, grading out in the 84th percentile.

Billy McKinney will hold the platoon advantage against Jon Gray today. Billy McKinney will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Billy McKinney has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 96-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 93.4-mph. Billy McKinney has been hot recently, putting up a a 14.3% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) in the past 7 days. Billy McKinney has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs recently, hitting balls between 23° and 34° 34.5% of the time in the last two weeks.

THE BAT X projects Ezequiel Duran in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Ezequiel Duran has made big strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 4.6% rate last season to 11.6% this year. Ezequiel Duran's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 9.1% to 18.8%. Ezequiel Duran's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, rising from 44.2% on the season to 57.1% in the last week. Ezequiel Duran has recorded a .370 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 92nd percentile for offensive skills (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Gleyber Torres in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Gleyber Torres has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Gleyber Torres will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Gleyber Torres has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 8.2% seasonal rate to 23.1% over the past 7 days.

Jonah Heim pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.3% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jonah Heim's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 13.4% to 21.4%. Jonah Heim has notched a .273 batting average this year, ranking in the 79th percentile.

Anthony Rizzo is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Anthony Rizzo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jon Gray in today's game. Anthony Rizzo pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Anthony Rizzo will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Anthony Rizzo has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 91.8-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 89.7-mph mark.

Robbie Grossman pulls many of his flyballs (33% — 77th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Robbie Grossman has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 6.8% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

THE BAT X projects Mitch Garver in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Mitch Garver has made notable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 16.2% seasonal rate to 50% over the past 7 days. Mitch Garver has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 97.9-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 91-mph figure.

Harrison Bader is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Harrison Bader will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Harrison Bader's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 15.5% to 25%.

THE BAT X projects Josh Donaldson in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Josh Donaldson is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Josh Donaldson will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Josh Donaldson has made significant strides with his Barrel%, improving his 9.9% rate last season to 22.2% this season. Josh Donaldson has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 102-mph average to last season's 94.7-mph average.

THE BAT X projects Adolis Garcia in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Adolis Garcia's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 95.8-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 91.8-mph in the last week's worth of games. Adolis Garcia has put up a .350 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 82nd percentile for offensive ability (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Adolis Garcia has posted a .354 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 81st percentile.

Anthony Volpe will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Anthony Volpe has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 104.9-mph average over the past week to his seasonal figure of 94.9-mph. Anthony Volpe's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, going from 46.1% on the season to 63.2% over the last two weeks. Anthony Volpe has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .194 BA is quite a bit lower than his .237 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Anthony Volpe is in the 97th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (21.8% rate this year).

THE BAT X projects Leody Taveras in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Leody Taveras's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 41.4% to 48.2%. Leody Taveras's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, increasing from 48.2% on the season to 60% in the past 14 days. Leody Taveras has put up a .312 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 98th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Leody Taveras has posted a .348 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 75th percentile.

Kyle Higashioka will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Kyle Higashioka's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 40.9% to 48.7%. Kyle Higashioka has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .268 rate is deflated compared to his .315 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Kyle Higashioka's 11.3% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) ranks in the 80th percentile since the start of last season. Kyle Higashioka's 95.8-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced stat to measure power) ranks in the 93rd percentile since the start of last season.

Jake Bauers is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. Jake Bauers will hold the platoon advantage over Jon Gray in today's game. Jake Bauers will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Jake Bauers has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 20.3% seasonal rate to 27.3% in the last 7 days. Jake Bauers has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 102.5-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 95.7-mph.

Jose Trevino has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Nathaniel Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Corey Seager has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

DJ LeMahieu has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.