Final Aug 21
ATH 8 -106 o9.5
MIN 3 -102 u9.5
Final Aug 21
TEX 4 +102 o9.0
KC 6 -110 u9.0
Final Aug 21
MIL 4 +125 o6.5
CHC 1 -136 u6.5
Final Aug 21
LAD 9 -203 o11.5
COL 5 +184 u11.5
Final Aug 21
NYM 3 -124 o8.0
WAS 9 +114 u8.0
Final Aug 21
SF 4 +163 o7.5
SD 8 -179 u7.5
Final Aug 21
HOU 7 +103 o8.5
BAL 2 -112 u8.5
Final Aug 21
BOS 6 +126 o8.5
NYY 3 -137 u8.5
Final Aug 21
STL 7 -113 o8.0
TB 4 +105 u8.0

Washington @ San Diego props

PETCO Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Trent Grisham Total Hits Props • San Diego

Trent Grisham
T. Grisham
center outfield CF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

THE BAT X projects Trent Grisham in the 79th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Petco Park has the 3rd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Trent Grisham will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Josiah Gray today. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Trent Grisham has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Trent Grisham will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Trent Grisham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

THE BAT X projects Trent Grisham in the 79th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Petco Park has the 3rd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Trent Grisham will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Josiah Gray today. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Trent Grisham has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Trent Grisham will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Jake Cronenworth Total Hits Props • San Diego

Jake Cronenworth
J. Cronenworth
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

THE BAT X projects Jake Cronenworth in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Jake Cronenworth will have the handedness advantage over Josiah Gray in today's game. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Cronenworth stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Jake Cronenworth hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Jake Cronenworth will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Jake Cronenworth

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Jake Cronenworth in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Jake Cronenworth will have the handedness advantage over Josiah Gray in today's game. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Cronenworth stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Jake Cronenworth hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Jake Cronenworth will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Derek Hill Total Hits Props • Washington

Derek Hill
D. Hill
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Derek Hill in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Derek Hill is quite toolsy, placing in the 98th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.71 ft/sec since the start of last season.

Derek Hill

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Derek Hill in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Derek Hill is quite toolsy, placing in the 98th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.71 ft/sec since the start of last season.

Lane Thomas Total Hits Props • Washington

Lane Thomas
L. Thomas
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

THE BAT X projects Lane Thomas in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Lane Thomas is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Lane Thomas hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Lane Thomas has made notable gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 9% seasonal rate to 16.2% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Lane Thomas has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97.3-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 94.3-mph.

Lane Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Lane Thomas in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Lane Thomas is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Lane Thomas hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Lane Thomas has made notable gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 9% seasonal rate to 16.2% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Lane Thomas has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97.3-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 94.3-mph.

Joey Meneses Total Hits Props • Washington

Joey Meneses
J. Meneses
designated hitter DH • Washington
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Petco Park profiles as the #24 field in the league for RHB BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Petco Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which often leads to lower offensive output. The weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most suitable pitching conditions of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Matt Waldron will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joey Meneses today. Joey Meneses has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and will be challenged by the game's 6th-deepest RF fences today.

Joey Meneses

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Petco Park profiles as the #24 field in the league for RHB BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Petco Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which often leads to lower offensive output. The weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most suitable pitching conditions of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Matt Waldron will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joey Meneses today. Joey Meneses has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and will be challenged by the game's 6th-deepest RF fences today.

Juan Soto Total Hits Props • San Diego

Juan Soto
J. Soto
left outfield LF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best batter in Major League Baseball, via THE BAT X. Juan Soto is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage over Josiah Gray today. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Juan Soto can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Juan Soto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best batter in Major League Baseball, via THE BAT X. Juan Soto is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage over Josiah Gray today. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Juan Soto can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Jeimer Candelario Total Hits Props • Washington

Jeimer Candelario
J. Candelario
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Jeimer Candelario is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Jeimer Candelario's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 37.3% to 43.5%. Jeimer Candelario's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, rising from 43.5% on the season to 58.8% in the last 7 days.

Jeimer Candelario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Jeimer Candelario is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Jeimer Candelario's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 37.3% to 43.5%. Jeimer Candelario's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, rising from 43.5% on the season to 58.8% in the last 7 days.

Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington

Keibert Ruiz
K. Ruiz
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Keibert Ruiz hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Keibert Ruiz's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, rising from 44.5% on the season to 54.5% in the past 14 days. Keibert Ruiz has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .240 mark is deflated compared to his .275 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Keibert Ruiz has displayed strong plate discipline this year, grading out in the 90th percentile with a 1.48 K/BB rate.

Keibert Ruiz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Keibert Ruiz hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Keibert Ruiz's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, rising from 44.5% on the season to 54.5% in the past 14 days. Keibert Ruiz has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .240 mark is deflated compared to his .275 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Keibert Ruiz has displayed strong plate discipline this year, grading out in the 90th percentile with a 1.48 K/BB rate.

Xander Bogaerts Total Hits Props • San Diego

Xander Bogaerts
X. Bogaerts
shortstop SS • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

THE BAT X projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Xander Bogaerts will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Xander Bogaerts has exhibited favorable plate discipline this year, ranking in the 85th percentile with a 1.64 K/BB rate.

Xander Bogaerts

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Xander Bogaerts will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Xander Bogaerts has exhibited favorable plate discipline this year, ranking in the 85th percentile with a 1.64 K/BB rate.

Dominic Smith Total Hits Props • Washington

Dominic Smith
D. Smith
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Dominic Smith will hold the platoon advantage over Matt Waldron today. Dominic Smith hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Dominic Smith has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 96.8-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 89.5-mph. Dominic Smith's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, increasing from 16.1% on the season to 23.5% in the past two weeks.

Dominic Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Dominic Smith will hold the platoon advantage over Matt Waldron today. Dominic Smith hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Dominic Smith has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 96.8-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 89.5-mph. Dominic Smith's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, increasing from 16.1% on the season to 23.5% in the past two weeks.

Manny Machado Total Hits Props • San Diego

Manny Machado
M. Machado
third base 3B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

THE BAT X projects Manny Machado in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Manny Machado is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Petco Park has the 3rd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Manny Machado will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Manny Machado has been unlucky this year, putting up a .308 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .359 — a .051 deviation.

Manny Machado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Manny Machado in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Manny Machado is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Petco Park has the 3rd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Manny Machado will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Manny Machado has been unlucky this year, putting up a .308 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .359 — a .051 deviation.

Rougned Odor Total Hits Props • San Diego

Rougned Odor
R. Odor
right outfield RF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Rougned Odor will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Josiah Gray in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Rougned Odor stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Rougned Odor will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Rougned Odor has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .313 rate is a good deal lower than his .361 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Rougned Odor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Rougned Odor will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Josiah Gray in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Rougned Odor stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Rougned Odor will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Rougned Odor has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .313 rate is a good deal lower than his .361 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Gary Sanchez Total Hits Props • San Diego

Gary Sanchez
G. Sanchez
catcher C • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Petco Park has the 3rd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Gary Sanchez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Gary Sanchez's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (19.1°) is a considerable increase over his 14° angle last year.

Gary Sanchez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Petco Park has the 3rd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Gary Sanchez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Gary Sanchez's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (19.1°) is a considerable increase over his 14° angle last year.

Corey Dickerson Total Hits Props • Washington

Corey Dickerson
C. Dickerson
left outfield LF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

THE BAT X projects Corey Dickerson in the 76th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Corey Dickerson is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Petco Park has the 3rd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Corey Dickerson will have the handedness advantage over Matt Waldron in today's matchup. Corey Dickerson has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 94.8-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal average of 91.2-mph.

Corey Dickerson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Corey Dickerson in the 76th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Corey Dickerson is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Petco Park has the 3rd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Corey Dickerson will have the handedness advantage over Matt Waldron in today's matchup. Corey Dickerson has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 94.8-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal average of 91.2-mph.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

CJ Abrams
C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

CJ Abrams will hold the platoon advantage over Matt Waldron in today's game. CJ Abrams hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. CJ Abrams's launch angle this season (10.3°) is considerably higher than his 6.6° angle last year.

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

CJ Abrams will hold the platoon advantage over Matt Waldron in today's game. CJ Abrams hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. CJ Abrams's launch angle this season (10.3°) is considerably higher than his 6.6° angle last year.

Nelson Cruz Total Hits Props • San Diego

Nelson Cruz
N. Cruz
designated hitter DH • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.71
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Nelson Cruz has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Fernando Tatis Jr. Total Hits Props • San Diego

Fernando Tatis Jr.
F. Tatis Jr.
right outfield RF • San Diego
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.05
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Fernando Tatis Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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