Washington @ San Diego Picks & Props

THE BAT X projects Trent Grisham in the 79th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Petco Park has the 3rd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Trent Grisham will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Josiah Gray today. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Trent Grisham has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Trent Grisham will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Jake Cronenworth in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Jake Cronenworth will have the handedness advantage over Josiah Gray in today's game. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Cronenworth stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Jake Cronenworth hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Jake Cronenworth will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Derek Hill in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Derek Hill is quite toolsy, placing in the 98th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.71 ft/sec since the start of last season.

THE BAT X projects Lane Thomas in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Lane Thomas is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Lane Thomas hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Lane Thomas has made notable gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 9% seasonal rate to 16.2% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Lane Thomas has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97.3-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 94.3-mph.

Petco Park profiles as the #24 field in the league for RHB BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Petco Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which often leads to lower offensive output. The weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most suitable pitching conditions of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Matt Waldron will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joey Meneses today. Joey Meneses has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and will be challenged by the game's 6th-deepest RF fences today.

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best batter in Major League Baseball, via THE BAT X. Juan Soto is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage over Josiah Gray today. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Juan Soto can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Jeimer Candelario is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Jeimer Candelario's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 37.3% to 43.5%. Jeimer Candelario's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, rising from 43.5% on the season to 58.8% in the last 7 days.

Keibert Ruiz hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Keibert Ruiz's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, rising from 44.5% on the season to 54.5% in the past 14 days. Keibert Ruiz has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .240 mark is deflated compared to his .275 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Keibert Ruiz has displayed strong plate discipline this year, grading out in the 90th percentile with a 1.48 K/BB rate.

THE BAT X projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Xander Bogaerts will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Xander Bogaerts has exhibited favorable plate discipline this year, ranking in the 85th percentile with a 1.64 K/BB rate.

Dominic Smith will hold the platoon advantage over Matt Waldron today. Dominic Smith hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Dominic Smith has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 96.8-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 89.5-mph. Dominic Smith's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, increasing from 16.1% on the season to 23.5% in the past two weeks.

THE BAT X projects Manny Machado in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Manny Machado is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Petco Park has the 3rd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Manny Machado will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Manny Machado has been unlucky this year, putting up a .308 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .359 — a .051 deviation.

Rougned Odor will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Josiah Gray in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Rougned Odor stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Rougned Odor will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Rougned Odor has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .313 rate is a good deal lower than his .361 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Petco Park has the 3rd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Gary Sanchez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Gary Sanchez's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (19.1°) is a considerable increase over his 14° angle last year.

THE BAT X projects Corey Dickerson in the 76th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Corey Dickerson is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Petco Park has the 3rd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Corey Dickerson will have the handedness advantage over Matt Waldron in today's matchup. Corey Dickerson has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 94.8-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal average of 91.2-mph.

CJ Abrams will hold the platoon advantage over Matt Waldron in today's game. CJ Abrams hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. CJ Abrams's launch angle this season (10.3°) is considerably higher than his 6.6° angle last year.

Nelson Cruz has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Fernando Tatis Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Brandon Dixon has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Luis Garcia has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.