Boston @ Minnesota Picks & Props

Jarren Duran has been pinch hit for 16% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year. Jarren Duran has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 11th-deepest LF fences today. Jarren Duran has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 6.3% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last two weeks. Jarren Duran has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .348 mark is quite a bit higher than his .322 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Max Kepler is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Target Field profiles as the #7 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 90°. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense grades out as the 14th-worst on the slate.

THE BAT X projects Byron Buxton in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Byron Buxton is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Target Field profiles as the #7 ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 90°.

THE BAT X projects Carlos Correa in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Carlos Correa is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Target Field profiles as the #7 ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 90°.

THE BAT X projects Alex Kirilloff in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Alex Kirilloff is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Target Field profiles as the #7 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 90°.

THE BAT X projects Rafael Devers in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Target Field profiles as the #7 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 90°.

THE BAT X projects Masataka Yoshida in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Target Field profiles as the #7 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 90°.

Target Field profiles as the #7 ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 90°. The switch-hitting Willi Castro will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against OPP_SP The Boston Red Sox outfield defense grades out as the 14th-worst on the slate.

Target Field profiles as the #7 ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 90°. OPP_SP will have the handedness advantage over Ryan Jeffers in today's game. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense grades out as the 14th-worst on the slate.

Target Field profiles as the #7 ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 90°. OPP_SP will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Royce Lewis in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense grades out as the 14th-worst on the slate.

THE BAT X projects Edouard Julien as the 17th-best hitter in MLB when estimating his BABIP ability. Edouard Julien is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Target Field profiles as the #7 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 90°.

THE BAT X projects Christian Arroyo in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Target Field profiles as the #7 ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 90°. Extreme flyball hitters like Christian Arroyo generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Joe Ryan.

Adam Duvall is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Target Field profiles as the #7 ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 90°. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 14th-best of the day.

Target Field profiles as the #7 ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 90°. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 14th-best of the day. Connor Wong's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (8° over the past 14 days) is considerably lower than his 13.5° seasonal angle.

Target Field profiles as the #7 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 90°. Triston Casas will hold the platoon advantage against Joe Ryan in today's game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 14th-best of the day.

THE BAT X projects Justin Turner in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Justin Turner is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. Target Field profiles as the #7 ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 90°.

Alex Verdugo has gone over 1.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.

Joey Gallo has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Michael A. Taylor has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.