Final May 11
CHC 2 +113 o8.0
NYM 6 -122 u8.0
Final May 11
STL 6 +126 o9.0
WAS 1 -137 u9.0
Final May 11
ATL 3 -213 o8.0
PIT 4 +193 u8.0
Final May 11
TEX 6 +102 o7.0
DET 1 -110 u7.0
Final May 11
MIL 4 +118 o9.0
TB 2 -127 u9.0
Final (10) May 11
SF 6 +140 o8.5
MIN 7 -152 u8.5
Final May 11
MIA 2 -130 o8.0
CHW 4 +120 u8.0
Final May 11
CIN 0 +127 o8.5
HOU 6 -138 u8.5
Final May 11
BOS 3 +117 o8.5
KC 1 -127 u8.5
Final May 11
SD 3 -301 o11.5
COL 9 +267 u11.5
Final May 11
NYY 12 -146 o11.0
ATH 2 +134 u11.0
Final May 11
BAL 7 -141 o9.0
LAA 3 +130 u9.0
Final May 11
TOR 9 +153 o8.0
SEA 1 -167 u8.0
Final May 11
LAD 8 -115 o9.5
AZ 1 +107 u9.5
Final May 11
PHI 3 -158 o7.5
CLE 0 +145 u7.5
NBC 10, MLB, Bally Sports Network

Atlanta @ Philadelphia props

Citizens Bank Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

K. Schwarber
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-157
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-157
Projection Rating

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 17th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, per THE BAT X. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage against Bryce Elder in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Schwarber can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 17th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, per THE BAT X. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage against Bryce Elder in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Schwarber can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Marsh
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-143
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-143
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Brandon Marsh as the best hitter in MLB when estimating his BABIP ability. Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage over Bryce Elder today. The Atlanta Braves have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Marsh can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Brandon Marsh has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 15th-worst of all teams on the slate today.

Brandon Marsh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Brandon Marsh as the best hitter in MLB when estimating his BABIP ability. Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage over Bryce Elder today. The Atlanta Braves have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Marsh can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Brandon Marsh has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 15th-worst of all teams on the slate today.

Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

T. Turner
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Trea Turner as the 18th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when assessing his batting average talent. Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 15th-worst of all teams on the slate today. Trea Turner will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Trea Turner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Trea Turner as the 18th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when assessing his batting average talent. Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 15th-worst of all teams on the slate today. Trea Turner will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Stott
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Bryson Stott in the 79th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Bryson Stott will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Elder in today's game. The Atlanta Braves have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryson Stott has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Bryson Stott has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 15th-worst of all teams on the slate today.

Bryson Stott

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Bryson Stott in the 79th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Bryson Stott will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Elder in today's game. The Atlanta Braves have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryson Stott has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Bryson Stott has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 15th-worst of all teams on the slate today.

Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

A. Bohm
third base 3B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Alec Bohm in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 15th-worst of all teams on the slate today. Alec Bohm will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Alec Bohm has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 7.4% seasonal rate to 18.8% in the past week's worth of games.

Alec Bohm

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Alec Bohm in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 15th-worst of all teams on the slate today. Alec Bohm will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Alec Bohm has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 7.4% seasonal rate to 18.8% in the past week's worth of games.

Eddie Rosario Total Hits Props • Atlanta

E. Rosario
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-157
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-157
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs. Eddie Rosario will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 15th-worst of all teams on the slate. Eddie Rosario has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 11.4% seasonal rate to 36.4% over the past week. Eddie Rosario's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, going from 18.1% on the season to 45.5% over the past 7 days.

Eddie Rosario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs. Eddie Rosario will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 15th-worst of all teams on the slate. Eddie Rosario has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 11.4% seasonal rate to 36.4% over the past week. Eddie Rosario's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, going from 18.1% on the season to 45.5% over the past 7 days.

Kody Clemens Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

K. Clemens
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-127
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-127
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs. Kody Clemens will hold the platoon advantage over Bryce Elder today. The Atlanta Braves have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kody Clemens can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 15th-worst of all teams on the slate today. Kody Clemens will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Kody Clemens

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs. Kody Clemens will hold the platoon advantage over Bryce Elder today. The Atlanta Braves have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kody Clemens can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 15th-worst of all teams on the slate today. Kody Clemens will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Harper
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Bryce Harper projects as the 10th-best batter in the game, per THE BAT X. Bryce Harper is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Bryce Harper will have the handedness advantage over Bryce Elder in today's game. The Atlanta Braves have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryce Harper stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Bryce Harper has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Bryce Harper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Bryce Harper projects as the 10th-best batter in the game, per THE BAT X. Bryce Harper is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Bryce Harper will have the handedness advantage over Bryce Elder in today's game. The Atlanta Braves have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryce Harper stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Bryce Harper has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Austin Riley Total Hits Props • Atlanta

A. Riley
third base 3B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-217
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-217
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Austin Riley in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Austin Riley is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 15th-worst of all teams on the slate. Austin Riley has been unlucky this year, putting up a .326 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .360 — a .034 deviation.

Austin Riley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Austin Riley in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Austin Riley is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 15th-worst of all teams on the slate. Austin Riley has been unlucky this year, putting up a .326 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .360 — a .034 deviation.

Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Arcia
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 15th-worst of all teams on the slate. Orlando Arcia has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.2-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 89.6-mph mark. Orlando Arcia's launch angle lately (8.9° over the last 14 days) is significantly better than his 4.9° seasonal figure. Orlando Arcia has compiled a .383 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 94th percentile.

Orlando Arcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 15th-worst of all teams on the slate. Orlando Arcia has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.2-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 89.6-mph mark. Orlando Arcia's launch angle lately (8.9° over the last 14 days) is significantly better than his 4.9° seasonal figure. Orlando Arcia has compiled a .383 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 94th percentile.

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-179
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-179
Projection Rating

Matt Olson projects as the 13th-best batter in the league, according to THE BAT X. Matt Olson is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs. Matt Olson will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Nola today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 15th-worst of all teams on the slate.

Matt Olson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Matt Olson projects as the 13th-best batter in the league, according to THE BAT X. Matt Olson is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs. Matt Olson will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Nola today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 15th-worst of all teams on the slate.

Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Ozzie Albies in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Ozzie Albies has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (59% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 15th-worst of all teams on the slate. Ozzie Albies is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of Philadelphia (#1-worst of all teams on the slate today).

Ozzie Albies

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Ozzie Albies in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Ozzie Albies has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (59% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 15th-worst of all teams on the slate. Ozzie Albies is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of Philadelphia (#1-worst of all teams on the slate today).

Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Ozuna
designated hitter DH • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Marcell Ozuna in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Marcell Ozuna has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (85% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Marcell Ozuna pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 15th-worst of all teams on the slate.

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Marcell Ozuna in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Marcell Ozuna has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (85% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Marcell Ozuna pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 15th-worst of all teams on the slate.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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