Atlanta @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #24 stadium in the game for RHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. The weather report forecasts the 7th-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 11.5-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for pitchers. Bryce Elder will have the handedness advantage over Trea Turner in today's matchup.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 17th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, per THE BAT X. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage against Bryce Elder in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Schwarber can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

THE BAT X projects Brandon Marsh as the best hitter in MLB when estimating his BABIP ability. Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage over Bryce Elder today. The Atlanta Braves have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Marsh can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Brandon Marsh has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 15th-worst of all teams on the slate today.

Bryce Harper projects as the 10th-best batter in the game, per THE BAT X. Bryce Harper is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Bryce Harper will have the handedness advantage over Bryce Elder in today's game. The Atlanta Braves have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryce Harper stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Bryce Harper has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs. Eddie Rosario will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 15th-worst of all teams on the slate. Eddie Rosario has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 11.4% seasonal rate to 36.4% over the past week. Eddie Rosario's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, going from 18.1% on the season to 45.5% over the past 7 days.

THE BAT X projects Bryson Stott in the 79th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Bryson Stott will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Elder in today's game. The Atlanta Braves have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryson Stott has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Bryson Stott has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 15th-worst of all teams on the slate today.

Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs. Kody Clemens will hold the platoon advantage over Bryce Elder today. The Atlanta Braves have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kody Clemens can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 15th-worst of all teams on the slate today. Kody Clemens will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Austin Riley in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Austin Riley is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 15th-worst of all teams on the slate. Austin Riley has been unlucky this year, putting up a .326 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .360 — a .034 deviation.

THE BAT X projects Alec Bohm in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 15th-worst of all teams on the slate today. Alec Bohm will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Alec Bohm has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 7.4% seasonal rate to 18.8% in the past week's worth of games.

Matt Olson projects as the 13th-best batter in the league, according to THE BAT X. Matt Olson is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs. Matt Olson will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Nola today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 15th-worst of all teams on the slate.

THE BAT X projects Ozzie Albies in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Ozzie Albies has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (59% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 15th-worst of all teams on the slate. Ozzie Albies is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of Philadelphia (#1-worst of all teams on the slate today).

Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 15th-worst of all teams on the slate. Orlando Arcia has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.2-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 89.6-mph mark. Orlando Arcia's launch angle lately (8.9° over the last 14 days) is significantly better than his 4.9° seasonal figure. Orlando Arcia has compiled a .383 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 94th percentile.

THE BAT X projects Marcell Ozuna in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Marcell Ozuna has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (85% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Marcell Ozuna pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 15th-worst of all teams on the slate.

J.T. Realmuto has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Travis d'Arnaud has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Nick Castellanos has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Michael Harris II has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Ronald Acuna Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.