Toronto @ Miami Picks & Props

LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to lower offensive output. The weather forecast forecasts the 5th-most favorable pitching conditions on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Eury Perez will have the handedness advantage over Bo Bichette in today's game. Bo Bichette has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.4%) but may find it hard to clear the game's 4th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup. Bo Bichette will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

THE BAT X projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Kevin Kiermaier will have the handedness advantage over Eury Perez in today's game. Kevin Kiermaier hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Kevin Kiermaier has notched a .274 batting average this year, grading out in the 79th percentile.

LoanDepot Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Jacob Amaya will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi today... and the cherry on top, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Jacob Amaya will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Daulton Varsho will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eury Perez in today's matchup. Daulton Varsho has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.9-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 87.6-mph average. Daulton Varsho's launch angle this year (18.1°) is a significant increase over his 14.5° angle last year. Daulton Varsho's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 44.9% on the season to 76.9% in the past week.

LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to lower offensive output. The weather forecast forecasts the 5th-most favorable pitching conditions on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Yusei Kikuchi will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Arraez in today's matchup... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Kikuchi's huge platoon split. Luis Arraez has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.5%) but may find it hard to clear the game's 8th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense profiles as the 4th-best of all teams on the slate today.

THE BAT X projects Whit Merrifield in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Whit Merrifield has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (76% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Whit Merrifield has seen a big increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 88.2-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 86-mph average. Whit Merrifield's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, rising from 17.9% on the season to 31.3% in the past week's worth of games. Whit Merrifield's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 42.5% to 49%.

Spencer Horwitz will have the handedness advantage over Eury Perez in today's matchup.

Yuli Gurriel is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. LoanDepot Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Yuli Gurriel will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup... and even better, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Yuli Gurriel will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Yuli Gurriel has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 2.1% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past week.

Jorge Soler projects as the 17th-best hitter in the majors, via THE BAT X. Jorge Soler is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Jorge Soler will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi today... and even better, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Jorge Soler will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Jorge Soler has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 12.2% rate last year to 17.8% this season.

THE BAT X projects Matt Chapman in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Matt Chapman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Matt Chapman has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 12.9% rate last season to 18.7% this year. Matt Chapman has put up a .363 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, ranking in the 88th percentile for offensive ability (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Matt Chapman has put up a .357 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile.

THE BAT X projects Garrett Cooper as the 19th-best batter in the game when estimating his BABIP ability. Garrett Cooper is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Garrett Cooper will hold the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's game... and even better, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Garrett Cooper will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Garrett Cooper has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.6-mph average to last year's 89.5-mph figure.

THE BAT X projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Bryan De La Cruz is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. LoanDepot Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Bryan De La Cruz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi today... and moreover, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Bryan De La Cruz will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects George Springer in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. George Springer is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. LoanDepot Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. George Springer has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 96.2-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal figure of 91.7-mph. George Springer has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .321 figure is a good deal lower than his .359 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Danny Jansen has made notable gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 11.4% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last week. Danny Jansen's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (21°) is a considerable increase over his 15° angle last season. Danny Jansen's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, going from 20% on the season to 33.3% over the past week. Danny Jansen has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .213 figure is quite a bit lower than his .249 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Garrett Hampson will have the handedness advantage over Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Garrett Hampson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Garrett Hampson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Nick Fortes will have the handedness advantage over Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Nick Fortes will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Nick Fortes has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 3.7% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last week. Nick Fortes's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, rising from 11.9% on the season to 33.3% in the past 7 days. Nick Fortes has been unlucky this year, putting up a .280 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .310 — a .030 discrepancy.

Santiago Espinal has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Yusei Kikuchi has gone over 4.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.

Jon Berti has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.