Arizona @ Milwaukee Picks & Props

Rowdy Tellez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to more offense. Rowdy Tellez will have the handedness advantage over Merrill Kelly in today's game. Rowdy Tellez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41.7% — 100th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Rowdy Tellez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Geraldo Perdomo has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (81% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to more offense. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 13.8% to 20.8%. Geraldo Perdomo has notched a .364 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 88th percentile. Geraldo Perdomo has displayed favorable plate discipline this year, ranking in the 88th percentile with a 1.5 K/BB rate.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to more offense. Joey Wiemer hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Joey Wiemer will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Joey Wiemer has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 10.8% seasonal rate to 23.8% over the past 14 days. Joey Wiemer has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.4-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 88.7-mph figure.

THE BAT X projects Ketel Marte in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. American Family Field has the 3rd-shallowest CF fences among all parks. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to more offense. Ketel Marte's maximum exit velocity (a reliable standard to assess power) has been 113.5 mph this year, checking in at the 84th percentile.

THE BAT X projects Corbin Carroll in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. American Family Field has the 3rd-shallowest CF fences among all parks. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to more offense. Corbin Carroll will hold the platoon advantage over Corbin Burnes in today's matchup.

THE BAT X projects William Contreras in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. William Contreras is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to more offense. William Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. William Contreras will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Willy Adames in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Willy Adames is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. American Family Field has the 3rd-shallowest CF fences among all parks. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to more offense. Willy Adames will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to more offense. Victor Caratini hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Victor Caratini will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Victor Caratini has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.7-mph average to last year's 89.3-mph EV. Victor Caratini has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .214 BA is considerably lower than his .230 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to more offense. Pavin Smith will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Corbin Burnes today. The Milwaukee Brewers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Pavin Smith has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Pavin Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Pavin Smith has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 89.9-mph average to last season's 87.9-mph EV.

Jesse Winker is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. American Family Field has the 3rd-shallowest CF fences among all parks. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to more offense. Jesse Winker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly in today's matchup. Jesse Winker will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Brian Anderson in the 78th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to more offense. Brian Anderson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Brian Anderson has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 12.2% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past week. Brian Anderson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, going from 18.5% on the season to 55.6% in the past week's worth of games.

THE BAT X projects Christian Yelich as the 17th-best batter in Major League Baseball when assessing his BABIP skill. Christian Yelich is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. American Family Field has the 3rd-shallowest CF fences among all parks. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to more offense. Christian Yelich will hold the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly in today's game.

American Family Field has the 3rd-shallowest CF fences among all parks. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to more offense. Josh Rojas will have the handedness advantage against Corbin Burnes today. The Milwaukee Brewers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Josh Rojas can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Josh Rojas has been unlucky this year, posting a .271 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .307 — a .036 deviation.

THE BAT X projects Jake McCarthy in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. American Family Field has the 3rd-shallowest CF fences among all parks. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to more offense. Jake McCarthy will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Corbin Burnes in today's game. The Milwaukee Brewers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake McCarthy has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

THE BAT X projects Christian Walker in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. American Family Field has the 3rd-shallowest CF fences among all parks. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to more offense. Christian Walker has put up a .357 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 82nd percentile.

THE BAT X projects Gabriel Moreno in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to more offense. Gabriel Moreno hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The standard deviation of Gabriel Moreno's launch angle this year (25.4°) is in the 87th percentile. A low deviation like this tends to lead to a higher BABIP. Gabriel Moreno has compiled a .326 BABIP this year, grading out in the 75th percentile.

American Family Field has the 3rd-shallowest CF fences among all parks. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to more offense. Luis Urias will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Luis Urias has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 5.3% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last week. Luis Urias has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 91.5-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 83.6-mph mark.

Raimel Tapia has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Emmanuel Rivera has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.