LIVE Top 4th May 12
MIL 0 -115 o8.5
CLE 0 +104 u8.5
LIVE Top 2nd May 12
BOS 0 -117 o8.0
DET 2 +106 u8.0
LIVE Top 2nd May 12
STL 0 +151 o8.5
PHI 0 -169 u8.5
PIT +143 o7.0
NYM -159 u7.0
WAS +162 o8.5
ATL -182 u8.5
MIA +220 o8.0
CHC -252 u8.0
COL +217 o8.5
TEX -248 u8.5
KC +109 o8.0
HOU -121 u8.0
NYY -141 o8.0
SEA +127 u8.0
LAA +185 o7.0
SD -209 u7.0
AZ -117 o8.0
SF +106 u8.0
MASN, Bally Sports Network

Miami @ Washington props

Nationals Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Garrett Hampson Total Hits Props • Miami

Garrett Hampson
G. Hampson
shortstop SS • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Garrett Hampson has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Garrett Hampson's launch angle this season (15.3°) is quite a bit better than his 10° angle last year.

Garrett Hampson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Garrett Hampson has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Garrett Hampson's launch angle this season (15.3°) is quite a bit better than his 10° angle last year.

Jorge Soler Total Hits Props • Miami

Jorge Soler
J. Soler
designated hitter DH • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jorge Soler projects as the 18th-best batter in the game, per THE BAT X. Jorge Soler is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Jorge Soler has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 12.2% rate last year to 18.3% this year. Jorge Soler's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 13.8% to 24.3%.

Jorge Soler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Jorge Soler projects as the 18th-best batter in the game, per THE BAT X. Jorge Soler is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Jorge Soler has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 12.2% rate last year to 18.3% this year. Jorge Soler's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 13.8% to 24.3%.

Lane Thomas Total Hits Props • Washington

Lane Thomas
L. Thomas
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Lane Thomas is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Lane Thomas will have the handedness advantage against Braxton Garrett in today's game. Lane Thomas will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Lane Thomas's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, going from 44% on the season to 58.3% in the past week.

Lane Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Lane Thomas is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Lane Thomas will have the handedness advantage against Braxton Garrett in today's game. Lane Thomas will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Lane Thomas's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, going from 44% on the season to 58.3% in the past week.

Nick Fortes Total Hits Props • Miami

Nick Fortes
N. Fortes
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Nick Fortes has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 96-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal figure of 90.7-mph. Nick Fortes's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, increasing from 12.1% on the season to 40% in the past week. Nick Fortes has been unlucky this year, notching a .272 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .315 — a .043 difference.

Nick Fortes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Nick Fortes has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 96-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal figure of 90.7-mph. Nick Fortes's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, increasing from 12.1% on the season to 40% in the past week. Nick Fortes has been unlucky this year, notching a .272 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .315 — a .043 difference.

Jeimer Candelario Total Hits Props • Washington

Jeimer Candelario
J. Candelario
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jeimer Candelario is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. The switch-hitting Jeimer Candelario will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Braxton Garrett. Jeimer Candelario will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Jeimer Candelario has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.3-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 89.1-mph figure.

Jeimer Candelario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Jeimer Candelario is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. The switch-hitting Jeimer Candelario will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Braxton Garrett. Jeimer Candelario will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Jeimer Candelario has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.3-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 89.1-mph figure.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

CJ Abrams
C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. CJ Abrams has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .217 rate is a fair amount lower than his .243 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. CJ Abrams has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .217 rate is a fair amount lower than his .243 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Victor Robles Total Hits Props • Washington

Victor Robles
V. Robles
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Victor Robles will hold the platoon advantage over Braxton Garrett today. Victor Robles will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Victor Robles

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Victor Robles will hold the platoon advantage over Braxton Garrett today. Victor Robles will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Luis Garcia Total Hits Props • Washington

Luis Garcia
L. Garcia
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Luis Garcia in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Luis Garcia is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Luis Garcia will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Luis Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Luis Garcia in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Luis Garcia is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Luis Garcia will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Jean Segura Total Hits Props • Miami

Jean Segura
J. Segura
second base 2B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Jean Segura in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Jean Segura has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jean Segura has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 3% seasonal rate to 11.1% over the past 7 days. Jean Segura has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .190 mark is a fair amount lower than his .260 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Jean Segura

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Jean Segura in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Jean Segura has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jean Segura has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 3% seasonal rate to 11.1% over the past 7 days. Jean Segura has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .190 mark is a fair amount lower than his .260 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Jesus Sanchez Total Hits Props • Miami

Jesus Sanchez
J. Sanchez
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Jesus Sanchez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin today. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Jesus Sanchez is guaranteed to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen all game.

Jesus Sanchez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Jesus Sanchez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin today. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Jesus Sanchez is guaranteed to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen all game.

Joey Wendle Total Hits Props • Miami

Joey Wendle
J. Wendle
third base 3B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Joey Wendle in the 75th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Joey Wendle will have the handedness advantage over Jake Irvin in today's game. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Joey Wendle is guaranteed to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen the whole game.

Joey Wendle

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Joey Wendle in the 75th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Joey Wendle will have the handedness advantage over Jake Irvin in today's game. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Joey Wendle is guaranteed to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen the whole game.

Dominic Smith Total Hits Props • Washington

Dominic Smith
D. Smith
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Dominic Smith will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Dominic Smith has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 5.2% seasonal rate to 23.1% over the last 7 days. Dominic Smith's launch angle recently (25.3° over the past 7 days) is considerably higher than his 12.8° seasonal mark.

Dominic Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Dominic Smith will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Dominic Smith has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 5.2% seasonal rate to 23.1% over the last 7 days. Dominic Smith's launch angle recently (25.3° over the past 7 days) is considerably higher than his 12.8° seasonal mark.

Garrett Cooper Total Hits Props • Miami

Garrett Cooper
G. Cooper
first base 1B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Garrett Cooper as the 13th-best batter in the majors when it comes to his BABIP skill. Garrett Cooper is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Garrett Cooper has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Garrett Cooper has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 11% seasonal rate to 23.5% over the past 14 days.

Garrett Cooper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Garrett Cooper as the 13th-best batter in the majors when it comes to his BABIP skill. Garrett Cooper is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Garrett Cooper has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Garrett Cooper has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 11% seasonal rate to 23.5% over the past 14 days.

Joey Meneses Total Hits Props • Washington

Joey Meneses
J. Meneses
designated hitter DH • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Joey Meneses in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Joey Meneses is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Joey Meneses will have the handedness advantage over Braxton Garrett in today's matchup. Joey Meneses has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Joey Meneses

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Joey Meneses in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Joey Meneses is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Joey Meneses will have the handedness advantage over Braxton Garrett in today's matchup. Joey Meneses has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Stone Garrett Total Hits Props • Washington

Stone Garrett
S. Garrett
left outfield LF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Stone Garrett is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Stone Garrett will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Braxton Garrett in today's game. Stone Garrett will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Stone Garrett has notched a .270 batting average since the start of last season, ranking in the 86th percentile.

Stone Garrett

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Stone Garrett is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Stone Garrett will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Braxton Garrett in today's game. Stone Garrett will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Stone Garrett has notched a .270 batting average since the start of last season, ranking in the 86th percentile.

Riley Adams Total Hits Props • Washington

Riley Adams
R. Adams
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Riley Adams will hold the platoon advantage against Braxton Garrett in today's matchup. Riley Adams will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Riley Adams's maximum exit velocity (a reliable stat to study power) has been 115 mph since the start of last season, ranking in the 96th percentile.

Riley Adams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Riley Adams will hold the platoon advantage against Braxton Garrett in today's matchup. Riley Adams will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Riley Adams's maximum exit velocity (a reliable stat to study power) has been 115 mph since the start of last season, ranking in the 96th percentile.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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