Miami @ Washington Picks & Props

Nationals Park projects as the #27 field in the game for RHB BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Joey Meneses's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 90.4-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 87.2-mph over the last two weeks. Joey Meneses's launch angle of late (0° in the past 7 days) is considerably lower than his 8.4° seasonal mark. Joey Meneses's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, decreasing from 19.2% to 7.7%. Joey Meneses has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average this year; his .297 rate is significantly inflated relative to his .267 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Nationals Park grades out as the #27 venue in MLB for lefty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Braxton Garrett will have the handedness advantage over Luis Garcia in today's matchup. Luis Garcia's launch angle this season (1.9°) is a considerable dropoff from his 5.2° angle last year. Luis Garcia's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (4° in the last two weeks) is considerably worse than his 8° seasonal mark. Luis Garcia has notched a .297 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 24th percentile.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Garrett Hampson has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Garrett Hampson's launch angle this season (15.3°) is quite a bit better than his 10° angle last year.

Jorge Soler projects as the 18th-best batter in the game, per THE BAT X. Jorge Soler is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Jorge Soler has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 12.2% rate last year to 18.3% this year. Jorge Soler's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 13.8% to 24.3%.

Lane Thomas is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Lane Thomas will have the handedness advantage against Braxton Garrett in today's game. Lane Thomas will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Lane Thomas's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, going from 44% on the season to 58.3% in the past week.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Nick Fortes has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 96-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal figure of 90.7-mph. Nick Fortes's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, increasing from 12.1% on the season to 40% in the past week. Nick Fortes has been unlucky this year, notching a .272 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .315 — a .043 difference.

Jeimer Candelario is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. The switch-hitting Jeimer Candelario will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Braxton Garrett. Jeimer Candelario will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Jeimer Candelario has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.3-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 89.1-mph figure.

Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. CJ Abrams has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .217 rate is a fair amount lower than his .243 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Victor Robles will hold the platoon advantage over Braxton Garrett today. Victor Robles will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Jean Segura in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Jean Segura has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jean Segura has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 3% seasonal rate to 11.1% over the past 7 days. Jean Segura has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .190 mark is a fair amount lower than his .260 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Jesus Sanchez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin today. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Jesus Sanchez is guaranteed to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen all game.

THE BAT X projects Joey Wendle in the 75th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Joey Wendle will have the handedness advantage over Jake Irvin in today's game. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Joey Wendle is guaranteed to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen the whole game.

Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Dominic Smith will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Dominic Smith has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 5.2% seasonal rate to 23.1% over the last 7 days. Dominic Smith's launch angle recently (25.3° over the past 7 days) is considerably higher than his 12.8° seasonal mark.

THE BAT X projects Garrett Cooper as the 13th-best batter in the majors when it comes to his BABIP skill. Garrett Cooper is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Garrett Cooper has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Garrett Cooper has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 11% seasonal rate to 23.5% over the past 14 days.

Stone Garrett is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Stone Garrett will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Braxton Garrett in today's game. Stone Garrett will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Stone Garrett has notched a .270 batting average since the start of last season, ranking in the 86th percentile.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Riley Adams will hold the platoon advantage against Braxton Garrett in today's matchup. Riley Adams will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Riley Adams's maximum exit velocity (a reliable stat to study power) has been 115 mph since the start of last season, ranking in the 96th percentile.

Luis Arraez has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Bryan De La Cruz has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.