Miami @ Washington Picks & Props

Nationals Park ranks as the #28 park in the league for LHB BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. Extreme flyball hitters like Luis Garcia generally hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Sandy Alcantara. Luis Garcia's launch angle this year (2.1°) is a significant dropoff from his 5.2° angle last season. Luis Garcia's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (4° over the last two weeks) is quite a bit worse than his 8° seasonal figure.

Joey Wendle is penciled in 6th in the batting order today. Nationals Park ranks as the #28 park in the league for LHB BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. Joey Wendle will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Joey Wendle's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 93.1-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 90.3-mph in the last 14 days. Joey Wendle's launch angle lately (-10.7° in the past week) is considerably lower than his 7.8° seasonal angle.

Jesus Sanchez has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 20% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year. Nationals Park ranks as the #28 park in the league for LHB BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. Jesus Sanchez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Jesus Sanchez has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 13% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past 7 days. Jesus Sanchez's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 97.1-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 76.8-mph over the last 7 days.

Lane Thomas is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. The weather report calls for the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Lane Thomas will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Lane Thomas's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, rising from 44.2% on the season to 66.7% in the past week's worth of games. Lane Thomas has compiled a .363 BABIP this year, ranking in the 91st percentile.

THE BAT X projects Jorge Soler in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Jorge Soler is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. The weather report calls for the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate. Jorge Soler has made notable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 12.2% rate last season to 17.9% this season.

The weather report calls for the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate. Nick Fortes has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.4-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 88.7-mph figure. Nick Fortes has been unlucky this year, notching a .272 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .315 — a .043 disparity.

THE BAT X projects Garrett Cooper as the 15th-best batter in the league when assessing his BABIP ability. Garrett Cooper is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The weather report calls for the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Garrett Cooper has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate.

Yuli Gurriel is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. The weather report calls for the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate. Yuli Gurriel has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 88.6-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal EV of 86-mph. Yuli Gurriel's launch angle this season (17.7°) is significantly higher than his 14.3° mark last season.

Jeimer Candelario is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. The weather report calls for the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jeimer Candelario pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.6% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jeimer Candelario will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Jeimer Candelario has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 95-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 92-mph.

The weather report calls for the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Keibert Ruiz will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Keibert Ruiz's launch angle lately (21.6° over the past two weeks) is quite a bit higher than his 14.8° seasonal mark. Keibert Ruiz has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .301 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .344 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Jean Segura in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. The weather report calls for the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jean Segura has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate. Jean Segura has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 3.1% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the last week.

The weather report calls for the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Alex Call will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Alex Call has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .268 mark is deflated compared to his .304 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Corey Dickerson is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors. The weather report calls for the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Corey Dickerson will have the handedness advantage over Sandy Alcantara today. Corey Dickerson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The weather report calls for the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jacob Stallings has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate. Jacob Stallings has made notable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 3.4% rate last season to 9% this season. Jacob Stallings has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90-mph average to last year's 86.7-mph mark.

Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors. The weather report calls for the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Dominic Smith will hold the platoon advantage over Sandy Alcantara today. Dominic Smith will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Dominic Smith has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 4.7% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the past week.

THE BAT X projects Joey Meneses in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Joey Meneses is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. The weather report calls for the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Joey Meneses has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Joey Meneses will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors. The weather report calls for the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. CJ Abrams will have the handedness advantage over Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup. CJ Abrams will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. CJ Abrams has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .281 rate is a fair amount lower than his .306 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Luis Arraez has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Jon Berti has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Victor Robles has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Bryan De La Cruz has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.