New York @ New York Picks & Props

Citi Field grades out as the #30 ballpark in the league for LHB batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which often leads to less offense. Brandon Nimmo's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 91.6-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 83.5-mph in the last week's worth of games. Brandon Nimmo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, going from 13.4% to 9.1%. Brandon Nimmo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off lately, decreasing from 9.1% on the season to 0% over the last week.

THE BAT X projects Tommy Pham in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Tommy Pham hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Tommy Pham will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Tommy Pham has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 17.4% seasonal rate to 41.2% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

THE BAT X projects Francisco Alvarez in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Francisco Alvarez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (85% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Francisco Alvarez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Anthony Rizzo is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Anthony Rizzo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Scherzer in today's game. Anthony Rizzo hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 81st percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Anthony Rizzo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 17.3% to 20.7%.

The weather report projects the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Mark Vientos will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Mark Vientos has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .222 rate is quite a bit lower than his .252 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Starling Marte in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Starling Marte is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Starling Marte will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects DJ LeMahieu in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. DJ LeMahieu is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Extreme flyball batters like DJ LeMahieu tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Max Scherzer.

THE BAT X projects Gleyber Torres in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Gleyber Torres is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Gleyber Torres has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 7.7% seasonal rate to 18.8% over the past 7 days.

THE BAT X projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Giancarlo Stanton has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .214 figure is a good deal lower than his .257 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Willie Calhoun is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. The weather report projects the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Willie Calhoun will hold the platoon advantage over Max Scherzer in today's matchup. Willie Calhoun hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Willie Calhoun has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.2-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 90.9-mph average.

THE BAT X projects Francisco Lindor in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Francisco Lindor will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The weather report projects the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jose Trevino hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Jose Trevino has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 89-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 86.6-mph average. Jose Trevino has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .252 rate is a good deal lower than his .292 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Brett Baty in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Brett Baty will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Severino in today's game. Brett Baty has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Brett Baty will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Luis Guillorme will have the handedness advantage over Luis Severino today. Luis Guillorme has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Luis Guillorme will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Luis Guillorme has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .264 BA is quite a bit lower than his .290 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Mark Canha in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Mark Canha will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Mark Canha has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.8-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 91.8-mph.

The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Kyle Higashioka pulls many of his flyballs (38.1% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Kyle Higashioka has made significant strides with his Barrel%, upping his 10% rate last year to 15.6% this year. Kyle Higashioka's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 40.9% to 53.1%. Kyle Higashioka has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .292 figure is considerably lower than his .333 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Anthony Volpe has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .268 rate is considerably lower than his .319 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Jake Bauers has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (62% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jake Bauers will have the handedness advantage against Max Scherzer in today's matchup. Jake Bauers's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, going from 23.1% on the season to 27.3% in the past two weeks.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Billy McKinney will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Scherzer today. Billy McKinney has been hot of late, posting a .416 wOBA in the past 7 days. Billy McKinney has been hot in recent games, putting up a a 26.7% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) over the last 7 days.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Jeff McNeil has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.