Minnesota @ Toronto Picks & Props

THE BAT X projects Trevor Larnach in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Trevor Larnach is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Trevor Larnach will have the handedness advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's game. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Trevor Larnach can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

THE BAT X projects Alex Kirilloff in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Alex Kirilloff is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Alex Kirilloff will have the handedness advantage against Kevin Gausman today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alex Kirilloff has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Max Kepler will have the handedness advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's matchup. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Max Kepler can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Max Kepler has been unlucky this year, putting up a .286 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .332 — a .046 difference.

THE BAT X projects Carlos Correa in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Carlos Correa is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Carlos Correa hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Carlos Correa has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 13% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Carlos Correa's launch angle recently (35.3° in the past week) is significantly better than his 12° seasonal figure.

Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Cavan Biggio will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Louie Varland in today's game. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Cavan Biggio can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate today. Cavan Biggio will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Daulton Varsho will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Louie Varland today. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daulton Varsho stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate today.

Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. A consistent launch angle is a proxy for good hitting, and Royce Lewis has been very consistent with his in recent games, compiling a 35.3° launch angle standard deviation over the last 14 days.

THE BAT X projects Donovan Solano in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Donovan Solano is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Donovan Solano hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Donovan Solano has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 5.6% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past 14 days. Donovan Solano's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, rising from 15.7% on the season to 29.2% over the past two weeks.

THE BAT X projects Matt Chapman in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Matt Chapman is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Matt Chapman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate today. Matt Chapman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Alejandro Kirk in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate today. Alejandro Kirk will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Alejandro Kirk's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, going from 40.7% on the season to 55.2% in the last 14 days.

THE BAT X projects Santiago Espinal in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate today. Santiago Espinal will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Santiago Espinal has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .258 figure is a fair amount lower than his .270 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Christian Vazquez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 47% to 54.6%. Christian Vazquez has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .261 mark is considerably lower than his .301 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Nathan Lukes will have the handedness advantage over Louie Varland today. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nathan Lukes can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Nathan Lukes hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate today. Nathan Lukes will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Whit Merrifield in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate today. Whit Merrifield will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Whit Merrifield has made notable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 2.9% seasonal rate to 11.1% in the past week.

George Springer has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Michael A. Taylor has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Bo Bichette has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.