Kansas City @ Baltimore Picks & Props

Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the deepest LF dimensions in the league. Ryan Mountcastle's average exit velocity has declined of late; his 91.4-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 81.9-mph in the last 7 days. Ryan Mountcastle's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, going from 17.5% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days. Ryan Mountcastle has been cold in recent games, struggling to the tune of a .294 wOBA in the past week's worth of games.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the deepest LF dimensions in the league. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense profiles as the 2nd-best on the slate. Salvador Perez has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 10.7% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past 7 days. Salvador Perez's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 94.6-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 82.1-mph in the last week. Salvador Perez has exhibited poor plate discipline this year, ranking in the 2nd percentile with a 6.95 K/BB rate.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the deepest LF dimensions in the league. Brady Singer will have the handedness advantage over Austin Hays in today's matchup. Austin Hays has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 12.3% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last week's worth of games. Austin Hays's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 91.4-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 79.8-mph in the last week. Austin Hays's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased recently, decreasing from 40.9% on the season to 27.6% over the past 14 days.

THE BAT X projects Gunnar Henderson in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Gunnar Henderson has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (55% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #5 park in the majors for LHB BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 87°. Gunnar Henderson will hold the platoon advantage over Brady Singer in today's game.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #5 park in the majors for LHB BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest RF fences among all parks. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 87°. Josh Lester will have the handedness advantage over Brady Singer in today's game. The Kansas City Royals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Josh Lester has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Nick Pratto is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #5 park in the majors for LHB BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest RF fences among all parks. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 87°. Nick Pratto has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 11.7% seasonal rate to 23.8% in the past two weeks.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #5 park in the majors for LHB BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 87°. Anthony Santander pulls many of his flyballs (39.7% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Kansas City Royals infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst on the slate.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #5 park in the majors for LHB BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 87°. Michael Massey pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Michael Massey has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.4-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 91.1-mph EV. Michael Massey's launch angle this season (19.8°) is quite a bit higher than his 15.8° figure last season.

Adley Rutschman has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and will have to hit them out towards the league's deepest LF fences in today's game. Adley Rutschman has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 6.3% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past 14 days. Adley Rutschman's launch angle lately (4.1° in the past two weeks) is quite a bit lower than his 13.2° seasonal mark.

THE BAT X projects Edward Olivares in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #5 venue in MLB for right-handed BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 87°. OPP_SP will hold the platoon advantage against Edward Olivares in today's game. Edward Olivares has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .310 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .368 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Drew Waters as the 12th-best hitter in the league as it relates to his BABIP ability. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #5 venue in MLB for right-handed BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 87°.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #5 venue in MLB for right-handed BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 87°. The Kansas City Royals infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst on the slate. Jorge Mateo will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Jorge Mateo has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 102.5-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal figure of 91.4-mph.

THE BAT X projects MJ Melendez in the 78th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. MJ Melendez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #5 park in the majors for LHB BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 87°. MJ Melendez pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences today.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #5 park in the majors for LHB BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 87°. Nicky Lopez has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 86.8-mph average to last year's 84.8-mph EV. Nicky Lopez has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 94.7-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal figure of 88.2-mph. Nicky Lopez's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (13.4° in the last 14 days) is a significant increase over his 7.6° seasonal figure.

THE BAT X projects Adam Frazier in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #5 park in the majors for LHB BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 87°. Adam Frazier will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brady Singer in today's game. The Kansas City Royals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Adam Frazier stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Aaron Hicks has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (85% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #5 park in the majors for LHB BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 87°. Aaron Hicks pulls many of his flyballs (38.1% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Kansas City Royals infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst on the slate.

THE BAT X projects Maikel Garcia in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Maikel Garcia is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #5 venue in MLB for right-handed BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 87°. OPP_SP will have the handedness advantage against Maikel Garcia today.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #5 venue in MLB for right-handed BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 87°. Ramon Urias has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest RF fences today. The Kansas City Royals infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst on the slate. Ramon Urias will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Ryan O'Hearn has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Bobby Witt Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.