Boston @ New York Picks & Props

Yankee Stadium ranks as the #22 field in the league for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Yankee Stadium's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to worse offense. The weather report the 4th-best pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Tanner Houck will have the handedness advantage against Gleyber Torres today... and it's a particular mismatch considering Houck's large platoon split. Gleyber Torres has put up a .262 BABIP this year, grading out in the 19th percentile.

THE BAT X projects Alex Verdugo in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Alex Verdugo is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. Alex Verdugo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Domingo German today. Alex Verdugo has compiled a .286 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 89th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Alex Verdugo has displayed impressive plate discipline this year, checking in at the 89th percentile with a 1.49 K/BB rate.

THE BAT X projects Justin Turner in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Justin Turner is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Justin Turner has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Justin Turner has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 94.3-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 92.1-mph. Justin Turner's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, rising from 18% on the season to 21.7% in the past 7 days.

Adam Duvall is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Adam Duvall has made significant gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 12.8% rate last season to 22.2% this season.

Extreme flyball hitters like Anthony Volpe tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Tanner Houck. Anthony Volpe will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Anthony Volpe has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99.4-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 94.7-mph. Anthony Volpe has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .272 rate is considerably lower than his .327 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Anthony Volpe ranks in the 98th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (22.5% rate this year).

THE BAT X projects Rafael Devers in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Rafael Devers is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Rafael Devers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Domingo German today. Rafael Devers has been unlucky this year, posting a .336 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .368 — a .032 deviation.

THE BAT X projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Giancarlo Stanton will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Giancarlo Stanton has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .216 rate is deflated compared to his .257 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Willie Calhoun is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Willie Calhoun will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Houck today... and even better, Houck has a large platoon split. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Willie Calhoun can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Willie Calhoun will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Willie Calhoun has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 3.8% seasonal rate to 9.1% in the last week's worth of games.

THE BAT X projects Masataka Yoshida as the 17th-best batter in Major League Baseball when assessing his batting average talent. Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. Masataka Yoshida will hold the platoon advantage over Domingo German in today's matchup. Masataka Yoshida has exhibited impressive plate discipline this year, ranking in the 97th percentile with a 1.12 K/BB rate. Masataka Yoshida has compiled a .304 batting average this year, ranking in the 95th percentile.

Anthony Rizzo is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Anthony Rizzo will hold the platoon advantage against Tanner Houck today... and moreover, Houck has a large platoon split. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Anthony Rizzo stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Anthony Rizzo pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Anthony Rizzo will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Connor Wong has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 12.8% seasonal rate to 40% in the past week. Connor Wong has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 101-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 91.4-mph EV. Connor Wong's launch angle in recent games (25.7° over the past two weeks) is a significant increase over his 17.7° seasonal angle.

THE BAT X projects DJ LeMahieu in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. DJ LeMahieu has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (45.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. DJ LeMahieu will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Reese McGuire will have the handedness advantage against Domingo German in today's matchup. Reese McGuire has put up a .359 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 98th percentile.

THE BAT X projects Josh Donaldson in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Josh Donaldson is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Josh Donaldson will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Josh Donaldson has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 106.8-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal EV of 104.4-mph. Josh Donaldson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, increasing from 26.3% on the season to 33.3% over the past 7 days.

Billy McKinney will have the handedness advantage against Tanner Houck today... and moreover, Houck has a large platoon split. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Billy McKinney stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Extreme flyball bats like Billy McKinney usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Tanner Houck. Billy McKinney will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Kike Hernandez has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 91.3-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 86.7-mph.

Triston Casas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Domingo German in today's game. Triston Casas pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Triston Casas has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 13.8% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the last week. Triston Casas has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 91.9-mph EV. Triston Casas's launch angle recently (10.5° in the past week) is significantly worse than his 15.6° seasonal figure.

Jose Trevino will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Jose Trevino has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .253 mark is considerably lower than his .300 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Christian Arroyo in the 75th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Christian Arroyo has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Christian Arroyo has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .276 rate is a good deal lower than his .298 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Christian Arroyo has put up a .272 batting average since the start of last season, checking in at the 85th percentile.

Jake Bauers is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Jake Bauers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Houck in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Houck has a large platoon split. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Bauers has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Jake Bauers will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Jake Bauers has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 23.9% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the last 7 days.

Extreme flyball hitters like Kyle Higashioka tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Tanner Houck. Kyle Higashioka will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Kyle Higashioka has made significant strides with his Barrel%, improving his 10% rate last year to 15.9% this year. Kyle Higashioka's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 40.9% to 52.4%. Kyle Higashioka has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .285 mark is considerably lower than his .331 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.