Minnesota @ Toronto Picks & Props

Rogers Centre ranks as the #27 field in MLB for RHB BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. Donovan Solano will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

Kyle Farmer is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest CF fences in the majors. Kyle Farmer will hold the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup... and moreover, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Kyle Farmer's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 49.2% to 54.3%. Kyle Farmer has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .257 BA is a good deal lower than his .284 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest CF fences in the majors. Christian Vazquez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's game... and the cherry on top, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Christian Vazquez's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 47% to 53.8%. Christian Vazquez has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .268 mark is a fair amount lower than his .298 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Carlos Correa in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Carlos Correa is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Carlos Correa will have the handedness advantage against Yusei Kikuchi today... and moreover, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Carlos Correa hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Carlos Correa has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 12.9% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past 7 days.

THE BAT X projects Willi Castro in the 75th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Willi Castro has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (94% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest CF fences in the majors. The switch-hitting Willi Castro will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Yusei Kikuchi... and even better, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Willi Castro's launch angle in recent games (21.3° in the last week's worth of games) is a significant increase over his 11° seasonal figure.

Kyle Garlick is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest CF fences in the majors. Kyle Garlick will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi today... and even more favorably, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Kyle Garlick's 12.7% Barrel% (an advanced standard to study power) is in the 89th percentile since the start of last season. Kyle Garlick's 95.9-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced stat to study power) is in the 92nd percentile since the start of last season.

THE BAT X projects George Springer in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. George Springer is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest CF fences in the majors. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst on the slate. George Springer will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest CF fences in the majors. Daulton Varsho will have the handedness advantage against Sonny Gray in today's game. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daulton Varsho stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 4th-worst on the slate. Daulton Varsho will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Jorge Polanco is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest CF fences in the majors. Jorge Polanco's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (26°) is a considerable increase over his 19.8° angle last season. Jorge Polanco's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 20.2% on the season to 26.3% over the past two weeks. Jorge Polanco has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .320 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .372 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest CF fences in the majors. Royce Lewis will hold the platoon advantage over Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup... and even better, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split.

THE BAT X projects Santiago Espinal in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest CF fences in the majors. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 4th-worst on the slate. Santiago Espinal will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Santiago Espinal has been unlucky this year, posting a .240 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .297 — a .057 disparity.

THE BAT X projects Brandon Belt in the 79th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Brandon Belt has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (64% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest CF fences in the majors. Brandon Belt will hold the platoon advantage over Sonny Gray today. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Belt has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest CF fences in the majors. Ryan Jeffers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's game... and even better, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Ryan Jeffers has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 97.8-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 91.1-mph average.

THE BAT X projects Matt Chapman in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Matt Chapman is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Matt Chapman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 4th-worst on the slate. Matt Chapman will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Whit Merrifield in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Whit Merrifield has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (83% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest CF fences in the majors. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 4th-worst on the slate. Whit Merrifield will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest CF fences in the majors. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 4th-worst on the slate. Tyler Heineman will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Tyler Heineman has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .207 figure is deflated compared to his .248 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Tyler Heineman has exhibited favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 84th percentile with a 2.03 K/BB rate.

THE BAT X projects Alejandro Kirk in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest CF fences in the majors. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst on the slate. Alejandro Kirk will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Alejandro Kirk's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, rising from 40.5% on the season to 51.6% in the past two weeks.

Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest CF fences in the majors. Cavan Biggio will hold the platoon advantage against Sonny Gray in today's game. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Cavan Biggio has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 4th-worst on the slate. Cavan Biggio will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Yusei Kikuchi has gone over 4.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Michael A. Taylor has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Bo Bichette has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.