Detroit @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for home runs. The weather report predicts the 4th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the worst of all teams on the slate. Kody Clemens will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for home runs. The weather report predicts the 4th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the worst of all teams today. Tyler Nevin has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 101.5-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 95.5-mph. Tyler Nevin has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .248 mark is a fair amount lower than his .289 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Brandon Marsh as the 2nd-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP skill. The weather report predicts the 4th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Brandon Marsh has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the worst of all teams on the slate. Brandon Marsh will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for home runs. The weather report predicts the 4th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the worst of all teams today. Jake Rogers has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .273 figure is a fair amount lower than his .320 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

The weather report predicts the 4th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Zack Short pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.1% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the worst of all teams today. Zack Short's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, going from 42.4% on the season to 50% over the past week.

Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #22 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which tends to lead to less offense. Trea Turner has compiled a .297 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 16th percentile for offensive ability (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Trea Turner has notched a .292 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 20th percentile. Trea Turner has exhibited bad plate discipline this year, grading out in the 14th percentile with a 4.19 K/BB rate.

THE BAT X projects Javier Baez in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Javier Baez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for home runs. The weather report predicts the 4th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the worst of all teams today.

THE BAT X projects Spencer Torkelson in the 78th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for home runs. The weather report predicts the 4th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the worst of all teams today.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for home runs. The weather report predicts the 4th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the worst of all teams today. Andy Ibanez has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 11.8% seasonal rate to 37.5% in the past 7 days. Andy Ibanez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, going from 22.4% on the season to 50% in the last 7 days.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for home runs. The weather report predicts the 4th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the worst of all teams today.

THE BAT X projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for home runs. The weather report predicts the 4th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the worst of all teams on the slate.

The weather report predicts the 4th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Bryson Stott has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the worst of all teams on the slate. Bryson Stott will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Bryson Stott has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 90-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 87.8-mph figure.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for home runs. The weather report predicts the 4th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Drew Ellis will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Alexander today... and even better, Alexander has a large platoon split. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the worst of all teams on the slate. Drew Ellis will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Bryce Harper projects as the 10th-best hitter in MLB, according to THE BAT X. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The weather report predicts the 4th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Bryce Harper has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the worst of all teams on the slate.

Nick Maton is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for home runs. The weather report predicts the 4th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Nick Maton will hold the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the worst of all teams today.

Zach McKinstry is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for home runs. The weather report predicts the 4th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Zach McKinstry will have the handedness advantage over Taijuan Walker in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the worst of all teams today.

The weather report predicts the 4th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Eric Haase pulls many of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the worst of all teams today. Eric Haase has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 101.7-mph average in the last week to his seasonal EV of 88.5-mph.

Akil Baddoo is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The weather report predicts the 4th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Akil Baddoo will have the handedness advantage over Taijuan Walker in today's matchup. Akil Baddoo has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the worst of all teams today.

Nick Castellanos has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

J.T. Realmuto has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.