Boston @ Cleveland Picks & Props

THE BAT X projects Will Brennan in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Will Brennan can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate. Will Brennan will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The weather forecast the 4th-best pitching conditions of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for pitchers. The Cleveland Guardians outfield defense projects as the 5th-best of all teams today. Masataka Yoshida will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Masataka Yoshida has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .384 rate is a fair amount higher than his .351 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

The weather forecast the 4th-best pitching conditions of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for pitchers. Rafael Devers hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 84th percentile) and and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 7th-deepest CF fences today. The Cleveland Guardians outfield defense projects as the 5th-best of all teams today. Rafael Devers will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Triston Casas has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (82% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Triston Casas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane Bieber in today's game. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Triston Casas has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Triston Casas pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest RF fences today.

THE BAT X projects Gabriel Arias in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Gabriel Arias has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (87% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Gabriel Arias will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against James Paxton today. Gabriel Arias has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

THE BAT X projects Andres Gimenez in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Andres Gimenez has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate. Andres Gimenez will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Justin Turner in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Justin Turner is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Justin Turner has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Justin Turner has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 5.7% seasonal rate to 12.1% in the last two weeks.

Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Reese McGuire will hold the platoon advantage over Shane Bieber in today's game. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Reese McGuire has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Reese McGuire has put up a .360 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 98th percentile.

THE BAT X projects Jose Ramirez in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Jose Ramirez pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.8% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate.

THE BAT X projects Jarren Duran in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage over Shane Bieber today. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jarren Duran stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Jarren Duran has put up a .332 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 82nd percentile.

THE BAT X projects Myles Straw in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Myles Straw will have the handedness advantage over James Paxton in today's game. Myles Straw has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (48.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences today. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate.

Progressive Field has the shallowest left field fences among all parks. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Christian Arroyo has compiled a .299 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 98th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Josh Bell in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Josh Bell is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Progressive Field has the shallowest left field fences among all parks. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate.

Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Kike Hernandez pulls a lot of his flyballs (32.9% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today. Kike Hernandez's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (20.4° in the last two weeks) is a considerable increase over his 7.3° seasonal angle.

Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Enmanuel Valdez will hold the platoon advantage against Shane Bieber in today's matchup. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Enmanuel Valdez stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Mike Zunino will hold the platoon advantage against James Paxton in today's matchup. Mike Zunino pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.4% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate. Mike Zunino will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Alex Verdugo has gone over 1.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.

Amed Rosario has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Steven Kwan has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.