MLBN, Bally Sports Network

St. Louis @ Texas props

Globe Life Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Adolis Garcia Total Hits Props • Texas

A. Garcia
right outfield RF • Texas
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-240
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-240
Projection Rating

Globe Life Field ranks as the #24 park in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Globe Life Field has the 6th-deepest centerfield fences in the majors. The weather report projects the 3rd-best pitching conditions on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Adam Wainwright will hold the platoon advantage against Adolis Garcia today. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense projects as the best of all teams on the slate today.

Adolis Garcia

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Globe Life Field ranks as the #24 park in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Globe Life Field has the 6th-deepest centerfield fences in the majors. The weather report projects the 3rd-best pitching conditions on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Adam Wainwright will hold the platoon advantage against Adolis Garcia today. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense projects as the best of all teams on the slate today.

Tommy Edman Total Hits Props • St. Louis

T. Edman
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-217
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-217
Projection Rating

Tommy Edman has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 10% of the time when starting against a left-handed starter this year. Globe Life Field ranks as the #24 park in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Globe Life Field has the 6th-deepest centerfield fences in the majors. The weather report projects the 3rd-best pitching conditions on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Texas Rangers outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-best of all teams on the slate.

Tommy Edman

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Tommy Edman has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 10% of the time when starting against a left-handed starter this year. Globe Life Field ranks as the #24 park in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Globe Life Field has the 6th-deepest centerfield fences in the majors. The weather report projects the 3rd-best pitching conditions on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Texas Rangers outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-best of all teams on the slate.

Brendan Donovan Total Hits Props • St. Louis

B. Donovan
second base 2B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Brendan Donovan in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Brendan Donovan has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 93.3-mph. Brendan Donovan's launch angle this year (9.3°) is considerably better than his 5.8° figure last season. Brendan Donovan's launch angle lately (36° in the past 7 days) is considerably better than his 9.3° seasonal angle. Brendan Donovan has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .316 figure is a good deal lower than his .352 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Brendan Donovan

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Brendan Donovan in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Brendan Donovan has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 93.3-mph. Brendan Donovan's launch angle this year (9.3°) is considerably better than his 5.8° figure last season. Brendan Donovan's launch angle lately (36° in the past 7 days) is considerably better than his 9.3° seasonal angle. Brendan Donovan has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .316 figure is a good deal lower than his .352 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Jonah Heim Total Hits Props • Texas

J. Heim
catcher C • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Jonah Heim will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Jonah Heim's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (18.3°) is considerably higher than his 11.7° figure last season. Jonah Heim has compiled a .288 batting average this year, ranking in the 85th percentile.

Jonah Heim

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Jonah Heim will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Jonah Heim's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (18.3°) is considerably higher than his 11.7° figure last season. Jonah Heim has compiled a .288 batting average this year, ranking in the 85th percentile.

Leody Taveras Total Hits Props • Texas

L. Taveras
center outfield CF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Leody Taveras in the 76th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Leody Taveras will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Leody Taveras has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 91.9-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal figure of 87.7-mph. Leody Taveras's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, increasing from 45.5% on the season to 51.5% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Leody Taveras has posted a .290 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 91st percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Leody Taveras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Leody Taveras in the 76th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Leody Taveras will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Leody Taveras has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 91.9-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal figure of 87.7-mph. Leody Taveras's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, increasing from 45.5% on the season to 51.5% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Leody Taveras has posted a .290 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 91st percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Paul Goldschmidt Total Hits Props • St. Louis

P. Goldschmidt
first base 1B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

Paul Goldschmidt projects as the 11th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to THE BAT X. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Paul Goldschmidt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Martin Perez in today's matchup. Paul Goldschmidt has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.6-mph average to last year's 90.8-mph mark. Paul Goldschmidt's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 45.5% to 51.2%.

Paul Goldschmidt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Paul Goldschmidt projects as the 11th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to THE BAT X. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Paul Goldschmidt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Martin Perez in today's matchup. Paul Goldschmidt has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.6-mph average to last year's 90.8-mph mark. Paul Goldschmidt's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 45.5% to 51.2%.

Jordan Walker Total Hits Props • St. Louis

J. Walker
right outfield RF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-189
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-189
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Jordan Walker in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Jordan Walker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Martin Perez today. Jordan Walker has hit one of the hardest balls in the majors over the past week — 110.9-mph — which is a good indicator of recent form and raw power. Jordan Walker has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .298 figure is a fair amount lower than his .329 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Jordan Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Jordan Walker in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Jordan Walker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Martin Perez today. Jordan Walker has hit one of the hardest balls in the majors over the past week — 110.9-mph — which is a good indicator of recent form and raw power. Jordan Walker has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .298 figure is a fair amount lower than his .329 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Josh Jung Total Hits Props • Texas

J. Jung
third base 3B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Josh Jung in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Josh Jung is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Josh Jung will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Josh Jung has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.4-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal figure of 96.3-mph. Josh Jung's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, going from 49.3% on the season to 58.8% in the past 14 days.

Josh Jung

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Josh Jung in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Josh Jung is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Josh Jung will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Josh Jung has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.4-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal figure of 96.3-mph. Josh Jung's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, going from 49.3% on the season to 58.8% in the past 14 days.

Nolan Arenado Total Hits Props • St. Louis

N. Arenado
third base 3B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Nolan Arenado will hold the platoon advantage against Martin Perez in today's game. Nolan Arenado has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 91.9-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.2-mph mark. Nolan Arenado's launch angle lately (20.3° over the past 14 days) is considerably higher than his 17° seasonal mark.

Nolan Arenado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Nolan Arenado will hold the platoon advantage against Martin Perez in today's game. Nolan Arenado has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 91.9-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.2-mph mark. Nolan Arenado's launch angle lately (20.3° over the past 14 days) is considerably higher than his 17° seasonal mark.

Mitch Garver Total Hits Props • Texas

M. Garver
catcher C • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Mitch Garver in the 76th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Mitch Garver will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Mitch Garver's 9.9% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power) ranks in the 76th percentile since the start of last season. Mitch Garver's 18° launch angle (a reliable stat to assess a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the highest in MLB: 84th percentile.

Mitch Garver

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Mitch Garver in the 76th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Mitch Garver will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Mitch Garver's 9.9% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power) ranks in the 76th percentile since the start of last season. Mitch Garver's 18° launch angle (a reliable stat to assess a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the highest in MLB: 84th percentile.

Willson Contreras Total Hits Props • St. Louis

W. Contreras
catcher C • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Willson Contreras in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Willson Contreras will hold the platoon advantage over Martin Perez in today's matchup. Willson Contreras has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100.4-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal figure of 95.5-mph. Willson Contreras's launch angle in recent games (39.5° in the past 7 days) is significantly higher than his 10° seasonal mark.

Willson Contreras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Willson Contreras in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Willson Contreras will hold the platoon advantage over Martin Perez in today's matchup. Willson Contreras has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100.4-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal figure of 95.5-mph. Willson Contreras's launch angle in recent games (39.5° in the past 7 days) is significantly higher than his 10° seasonal mark.

Ezequiel Duran Total Hits Props • Texas

E. Duran
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Ezequiel Duran in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Ezequiel Duran will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Ezequiel Duran has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 4.6% rate last year to 10.7% this season. Ezequiel Duran has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.2-mph average to last year's 85.4-mph figure. Ezequiel Duran's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 9.1% to 19.4%.

Ezequiel Duran

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Ezequiel Duran in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Ezequiel Duran will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Ezequiel Duran has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 4.6% rate last year to 10.7% this season. Ezequiel Duran has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.2-mph average to last year's 85.4-mph figure. Ezequiel Duran's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 9.1% to 19.4%.

Paul DeJong Total Hits Props • St. Louis

P. DeJong
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Paul DeJong will hold the platoon advantage over Martin Perez in today's matchup. Paul DeJong's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (21.8° in the past two weeks) is significantly better than his 17.5° seasonal figure.

Paul DeJong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Paul DeJong will hold the platoon advantage over Martin Perez in today's matchup. Paul DeJong's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (21.8° in the past two weeks) is significantly better than his 17.5° seasonal figure.

Oscar Mercado Total Hits Props • St. Louis

O. Mercado
center outfield CF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Oscar Mercado will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Martin Perez in today's matchup. Oscar Mercado's 22.5° launch angle (an advanced standard to measure a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the highest in the league: 96th percentile.

Oscar Mercado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Oscar Mercado will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Martin Perez in today's matchup. Oscar Mercado's 22.5° launch angle (an advanced standard to measure a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the highest in the league: 96th percentile.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast