Toronto @ New York props

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the league. Daulton Varsho will have the handedness advantage over Kodai Senga in today's game. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daulton Varsho stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the worst on the slate today. Daulton Varsho has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 89-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 86.9-mph average.

THE BAT X projects Whit Merrifield in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the league. The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the worst on the slate today. Whit Merrifield's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 42.5% to 49.7%. Whit Merrifield has put up a .285 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 88th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Francisco Alvarez in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the league. Francisco Alvarez will hold the platoon advantage over Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup... and even better, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Francisco Alvarez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Francisco Alvarez has seen a big increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.4-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 87.6-mph average.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the league.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the league.

THE BAT X projects Starling Marte in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the league. Starling Marte will hold the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup... and moreover, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Starling Marte will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Starling Marte has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 94.3-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 90.4-mph.

Brandon Belt has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (68% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the league. Brandon Belt will hold the platoon advantage over Kodai Senga in today's game. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Belt has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the worst on the slate today.

THE BAT X projects George Springer in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. George Springer is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the league. The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the worst on the slate today. George Springer has been unlucky this year, putting up a .318 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .348 — a .030 deviation.

THE BAT X projects Francisco Lindor in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Yusei Kikuchi... and even better, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Francisco Lindor pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.1% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Francisco Lindor will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Matt Chapman in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Matt Chapman is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Matt Chapman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences today. The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the worst on the slate today. Matt Chapman has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 12.9% rate last season to 21.1% this season.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the league. Cavan Biggio will hold the platoon advantage over Kodai Senga today. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Cavan Biggio stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the worst on the slate today. Cavan Biggio has made significant gains with his Barrel%, improving his 7% rate last season to 12% this season.

THE BAT X projects Tommy Pham in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Tommy Pham has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (59% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. Tommy Pham will hold the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's game... and even more favorably, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Tommy Pham hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences today. Tommy Pham will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the league.

THE BAT X projects Mark Canha in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Mark Canha has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (76% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the league. Mark Canha will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi today... and even better, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Mark Canha will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the league. The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the worst on the slate today. Tyler Heineman has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .212 mark is a good deal lower than his .248 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Tyler Heineman has shown impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 79th percentile with a 2.19 K/BB rate.

THE BAT X projects Jeff McNeil in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jeff McNeil has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Jeff McNeil hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Jeff McNeil will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Jeff McNeil has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 95.7-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 89.4-mph.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the league.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the league.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the league. Mark Vientos will hold the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Mark Vientos will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Eduardo Escobar has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (92% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. The switch-hitting Eduardo Escobar will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Yusei Kikuchi... and even better, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Eduardo Escobar pulls many of his flyballs (37.3% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Eduardo Escobar will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Eduardo Escobar has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .241 rate is quite a bit lower than his .261 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Bo Bichette has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Pete Alonso has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Yusei Kikuchi has gone over 4.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.