Toronto @ New York Picks & Props

Citi Field ranks as the #30 stadium in the league for lefty batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which often leads to lower offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for mound aces. The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense projects as the 2nd-best of all teams on the slate today.

Citi Field projects as the #30 ballpark in the league for righty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which often leads to lower offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for mound aces. Tylor Megill will hold the platoon advantage against George Springer today.

THE BAT X projects Brett Baty in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Brett Baty is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Brett Baty will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios in today's matchup. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brett Baty has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Brett Baty has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. Daulton Varsho will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tylor Megill today. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daulton Varsho stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Daulton Varsho's launch angle lately (25.9° in the past week) is significantly higher than his 17° seasonal mark. Daulton Varsho has hit one of the hardest balls in Major League Baseball over the past week — 109.3-mph — which is a good measure of recent form and raw power.

Daniel Vogelbach will have the handedness advantage over Jose Berrios in today's matchup. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daniel Vogelbach has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Daniel Vogelbach hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Daniel Vogelbach will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Tomas Nido hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.9% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Tomas Nido will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Brandon Belt has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (69% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. Brandon Belt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tylor Megill today. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Belt can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Brandon Belt has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.4-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 89.6-mph average.

THE BAT X projects Alejandro Kirk in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. Alejandro Kirk's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, rising from 39.3% on the season to 61.5% in the last 7 days. A consistent launch angle is a proxy for good hitting, and Alejandro Kirk has been very consistent with his recently, notching a 32.6° launch angle standard deviation in the past two weeks' worth of games. Alejandro Kirk has had a particularly strong THE BAT X Spray Score over the past week, which measures a batter's proficiency in hitting the ball to all fields.

THE BAT X projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 82nd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Kevin Kiermaier will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tylor Megill today. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kevin Kiermaier stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Kevin Kiermaier hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Kevin Kiermaier's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, rising from 47% on the season to 54.2% in the past two weeks.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. Francisco Alvarez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Francisco Alvarez has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 9.8% seasonal rate to 20% over the past 7 days. Francisco Alvarez has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96.8-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 87.5-mph average. Francisco Alvarez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, going from 20.7% on the season to 30% over the last week.

THE BAT X projects Matt Chapman in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Matt Chapman is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Matt Chapman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Matt Chapman's launch angle recently (19.7° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is significantly higher than his 16.7° seasonal mark. Matt Chapman has hit one of the hardest balls in the majors over the last two weeks — 114.3-mph — which is a favorable measure of recent form and raw power.

THE BAT X projects Mark Canha in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. Mark Canha will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Mark Canha has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 5.6% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the past 7 days. Mark Canha has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 101-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 91.4-mph.

THE BAT X projects Starling Marte in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. Starling Marte will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Starling Marte has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 96.5-mph average over the last week to his seasonal mark of 90.4-mph. Starling Marte's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, rising from 39.6% on the season to 69.2% over the last week.

THE BAT X projects Whit Merrifield in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. A consistent launch angle is an indicator of good hitting, and Whit Merrifield has been very consistent with his of late, posting a 34.8° launch angle standard deviation in the last week. Whit Merrifield has had a particularly strong THE BAT X Spray Score in the last week, which measures a hitter's proficiency in hitting the ball to all fields.

THE BAT X projects Francisco Lindor in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. Francisco Lindor will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Francisco Lindor has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 9.9% seasonal rate to 15.4% over the past 14 days.

Bo Bichette has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Jeff McNeil has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Pete Alonso has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.