San Diego @ Miami Picks & Props

When assessing Xander Bogaerts's batting average captalent, THE BAT X places him in the 95th percentile. Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Xander Bogaerts will have the handedness advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and even better, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Xander Bogaerts's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, rising from 15.3% on the season to 24% in the last 14 days. When it comes to plate discipline, Xander Bogaerts's ability is quite impressive, sporting a 1.6 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 85th percentile.

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best batter in Major League Baseball, per THE BAT X. Juan Soto is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Juan Soto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. This season, Juan Soto has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 99.4 mph compared to last year's 95.9 mph mark. In the past 14 days, Juan Soto's exit velocity on flyballs has experienced a significant boost, evident from his figure of 102.3-mph, which surpasses his seasonal figure of 99.4-mph.

Nick Fortes will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Nick Fortes's launch angle recently (24.8° over the past 14 days) is considerably higher than his 8.7° seasonal mark. THE BAT X estimates Nick Fortes's true offensive skill to be a .314, suggesting that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .041 deviation between that figure and his actual .273 wOBA.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 75th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. For 68% of the time this season, Jesus Sanchez has mainly batted in the back-half of the lineup, but for this matchup, he is listed in the 4th spot in the lineup. Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage against Joe Musgrove in today's matchup. Jesus Sanchez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Jesus Sanchez has made notable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 10% rate last season to 15.2% this year.

Joey Wendle will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Musgrove today. Joey Wendle will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Joey Wendle has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.2-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal figure of 94.4-mph.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 83rd percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Jake Cronenworth hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Over the past 7 days, Jake Cronenworth has remarkably improved his Barrel% by elevating his seasonal rate from 5.9% to 15.4%. His seasonal figure has been 14.4° but Jake Cronenworth has recently recorded a launch angle of 30.8° in the past week, which is notably higher. As it relates to his batting average, Jake Cronenworth has had bad variance on his side this year. His .205 mark falls considerably below THE BAT X's version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .254.

Nelson Cruz will hold the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and the cherry on top, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Of all teams on the slate, the Miami Marlins' infield defense is expected to be the 5th-worst. Nelson Cruz's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 44% to 50.7%. Based on Statcast metrics, THE BAT X's version of Expected Batting Average (.257) implies that Nelson Cruz has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .236 actual batting average. Since the start of last season, Nelson Cruz has an average exit velocity of 91.2 mph, which ranks among the elite in MLB at the 89th percentile.

In Major League Baseball, LoanDepot Park's centerfield fences are the 6th-shallowest. Austin Nola will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and even better, Luzardo has a large platoon split. THE BAT X estimates Austin Nola's true offensive ability to be a .302, indicating that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .091 gap between that figure and his actual .211 wOBA.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jorge Soler ranks in the 96th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Jorge Soler is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Jorge Soler will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Jorge Soler has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 12.2% rate last season to 18.9% this season. Jorge Soler's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (29.6° in the last two weeks) is a considerable increase over his 18.9° seasonal figure.

Assessing his ability in BABIP, THE BAT X ranks Bryan De La Cruz as the 14th-best batter in MLB. Bryan De La Cruz is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. In Major League Baseball, LoanDepot Park's centerfield fences are the 6th-shallowest. Bryan De La Cruz will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. In the last 7 days, Bryan De La Cruz has remarkably improved his Barrel% by elevating his seasonal rate from 7.6% to 13.3%.

Trent Grisham has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Yuli Gurriel is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. In Major League Baseball, LoanDepot Park's centerfield fences are the 6th-shallowest. Yuli Gurriel will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Over the last two weeks, Yuli Gurriel's exit velocity on flyballs has experienced a significant boost, evident from his average of 87.4-mph, which surpasses his seasonal average of 84.9-mph. When it comes to plate discipline, Yuli Gurriel's talent is quite impressive, posting a 2.13 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 77th percentile.

Estimating Jean Segura's batting average skill, THE BAT X projects him in the 90th percentile. Jean Segura hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Jean Segura will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Jean Segura has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .229 rate is considerably lower than his .296 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

This season, Brandon Dixon has mainly batted in the back-half of the order (80% of the time), however, it's expected that he will bat 5th in the batting order for this game. Brandon Dixon will hold the platoon advantage over Jesus Luzardo today... and the cherry on top, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Brandon Dixon hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Brandon Dixon has been lifting the ball well of late, compiling a 30.7° launch angle over the last 14 days. Putting up a 32.6° launch angle standard deviation over the last 14 days, Brandon Dixon has consistently demonstrated good hitting through his consistent launch angle.

When estimating his BABIP talent, Garrett Cooper is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by THE BAT X. Garrett Cooper is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Garrett Cooper will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. In the last week, Garrett Cooper has remarkably improved his Barrel% by elevating his seasonal rate from 9.3% to 22.2%. In recent games, Garrett Cooper's exit velocity has notably improvementd, evident in his 95.4-mph average in the past week's games compared to his seasonal 91.4-mph mark.

THE BAT X projects Jose Azocar in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Jose Azocar will have the handedness advantage against Jesus Luzardo today... and the cherry on top, Luzardo has a large platoon split. This season, Jose Azocar has improved his quickness. His Statcast Sprint quickness has increased from 29.46 ft/sec last year to 30.05 ft/sec. Jose Azocar has notched a .324 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 79th percentile.

Jacob Stallings will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Lately, Jacob Stallings has shown an improvement in hitting the ball with a launch angle that maximizes home runs (ranging from -4° to 26°), as his percentage has risen from 16.1% over the season to 40% in the past 7 days. Jacob Stallings has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .202 rate is considerably lower than his .274 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Fernando Tatis Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Luis Arraez has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.