Cleveland @ Baltimore Picks & Props

Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate at 33%. Shane Bieber will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Mountcastle in today's matchup. Ryan Mountcastle has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 17% seasonal rate to 23.5% in the last 7 days. Over the last 14 days, Ryan Mountcastle's exit velocity on flyballs has experienced a decline from his seasonal EV of 94.5-mph to 90.6-mph. a 5.18 K/BB rate this year, Ryan Mountcastle has displayed bad plate discipline, grading out in the 8th percentile.

THE BAT X projects Ryan McKenna in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #5 venue in the game for RHB BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Ryan McKenna will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Ryan McKenna has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.2-mph average to last year's 86.8-mph EV. Checking in at the 89th percentile, Ryan McKenna sports a .347 BABIP since the start of last season.

Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate at 33%. Steven Kwan has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's deepest LF fences today. On the slate today, the 4th-best infield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles. Steven Kwan will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. In the past 14 days, Steven Kwan's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls is -1.2°, which is considerably lower than his seasonal mark of 6.1°.

THE BAT X projects Gabriel Arias in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #5 venue in the game for RHB BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Gabriel Arias has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Lately, Gabriel Arias' exit velocity on flyballs has notably gaind, as EVidenced by his average of 103.4-mph in the last 7 days, compared to his seasonal average of 93.2-mph. His seasonal mark has been 5.8° but Gabriel Arias has lately recorded a launch angle of 22.8° over the last 7 days, which is notably higher.

THE BAT X projects Gunnar Henderson in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. According to THE BAT projection system, Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the 5nd venue in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP. Gunnar Henderson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane Bieber in today's matchup. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gunnar Henderson stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

When estimating his batting average ability, Andres Gimenez is ranked in the 84th percentile by THE BAT X projects. According to THE BAT projection system, Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the 5nd venue in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP. In the majors, Oriole Park at Camden Yards features the shallowest right field fences. Andres Gimenez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Austin Voth in today's game. Andres Gimenez has been unlucky this year, compiling a .274 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .323 — a .049 deviation.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 95th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. According to THE BAT projection system, Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the 5nd venue in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP. In the majors, Oriole Park at Camden Yards features the shallowest right field fences. Adley Rutschman will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Josh Bell in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Josh Bell is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. According to THE BAT projection system, Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the 5nd venue in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP. In the majors, Oriole Park at Camden Yards features the shallowest right field fences. Despite posting a .298 wOBA this year, THE BAT X believes Josh Bell has experienced some negative variance given the .046 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .344.

Jose Ramirez is projected to be in the 97th percentile for his overall offensive abilities by THE BAT X. Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. According to THE BAT projection system, Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the 5nd venue in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP. Jose Ramirez pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.5% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Despite posting a .330 wOBA this year, THE BAT X believes Jose Ramirez has suffered from bad luck given the .041 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .371.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #5 venue in the game for RHB BABIP, per THE BAT projection system.

Anthony Santander is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. According to THE BAT projection system, Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the 5nd venue in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP. Anthony Santander pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.9% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Anthony Santander will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Lately, Anthony Santander's exit velocity has notably gaind, evident in his 95-mph average in the past week's games compared to his seasonal 91.5-mph EV.

THE BAT X projects Austin Hays in the 78th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Austin Hays is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #5 venue in the game for RHB BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Austin Hays will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. In recent times, Austin Hays's exit velocity has notably risen; observe the difference between his average of 96.1 mph in the past week and his seasonal figure of 91.6 mph.

As it relates to his BABIP capskill, Myles Straw is projected in the 87th percentile by THE BAT X. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #5 venue in the game for RHB BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Myles Straw has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (48.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #5 venue in the game for RHB BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Mike Zunino ranks in the 91st percentile with a standard1° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in MLB and considered an advanced metric.

In terms of his BABIP talent, Terrin Vavra ranks in the 86th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. According to THE BAT projection system, Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the 5nd venue in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP. Terrin Vavra will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane Bieber in today's matchup. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Terrin Vavra can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Terrin Vavra will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #5 venue in the game for RHB BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Ramon Urias has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Ramon Urias will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #5 venue in the game for RHB BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Jorge Mateo will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Comparing his seasonal 88.9-mph mark to his 93.8-mph average in the past week's games, Jorge Mateo's exit velocity has significantly increased in recent times. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Jorge Mateo has had some very poor luck this year. His .285 rate falls considerably below THE BAT X's version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .330.

Adam Frazier has gone over 1.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.

Amed Rosario has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Ryan O'Hearn has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.