San Diego @ Miami Picks & Props

With its low elevation, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest levels in Major League Baseball, resulting in decreased offensive production. Ryan Weathers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Arraez in today's matchup... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Weathers's large platoon split. Hitting his flyballs in the direction of baseball's 8th-deepest LF fences in today's game, Luis Arraez possesses a 97th percentile opposite-field rate of 40.9%. Of all teams today, the best infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 86.9-mph figure last year has fallen to 88.9-mph.

When evaluating his BABIP ability, THE BAT X ranks Bryan De La Cruz as the 15th-best hitter in MLB. Bryan De La Cruz is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. In the majors, LoanDepot Park's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Bryan De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Weathers in today's matchup... and moreover, Weathers has a large platoon split. Bryan De La Cruz will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

In terms of his overall offensive capskill, Jorge Soler ranks in the 96th percentile according to THE BAT X's projects. Jorge Soler is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Jorge Soler will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Weathers today... and even better, Weathers has a large platoon split. Jorge Soler will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Jorge Soler has made big improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 12.2% rate last season to 19% this year.

Garrett Hampson will hold the platoon advantage over Ryan Weathers today... and moreover, Weathers has a large platoon split. Garrett Hampson hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Garrett Hampson will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. As of late, Garrett Hampson's capacity to strike the ball at a launch angle that maximizes home runs (ranging from -4° to 26°) has deteriorated, plunging from 13.4% throughout the season to 10% in the past seven days.

THE BAT X projects Jake Cronenworth in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Jake Cronenworth is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Jake Cronenworth will have the handedness advantage over Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup. During the last 7 days, Jake Cronenworth has significantly improved his seasonal Barrel% rate from 6% to 21.4%. Comparing his seasonal EV of 92-mph to his 97.9-mph EV in the last two weeks' worth of games, it is clear that Jake Cronenworth has made significant progress in his exit velocity on flyballs.

Estimating Xander Bogaerts's batting average ability, THE BAT X projects him in the 95th percentile. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. In recent times, Xander Bogaerts has improved his capability to strike the ball at an angle between -4° and 26°, which is favorable for hitting a HR. This has resulted in an increase from 15.7% for the season to 29.6% over the previous two weeks. Xander Bogaerts has exhibited favorable plate discipline this year, grading out in the 86th percentile with a 1.56 K/BB rate.

Nick Fortes will hold the platoon advantage over Ryan Weathers in today's matchup... and moreover, Weathers has a large platoon split. Nick Fortes will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Recently, Nick Fortes has witnessed a notable enhancement in his exit velocity, evident by the contrast between his seasonal 88.4-mph marks and his current 91.8-mph average in the last two weeks. In the past two weeks, Nick Fortes's launch angle has significantly improved to 21.2°, exceeding his seasonal angle of 8.7°. THE BAT X estimates Nick Fortes's true offensive ability to be a .314, indicating that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .039 difference between that figure and his actual .275 wOBA.

Jacob Stallings will have the handedness advantage over Ryan Weathers in today's game... and even better, Weathers has a large platoon split. Jacob Stallings will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Improving from a 3.4% rate last year, Jacob Stallings has made significant improvements with his Barrel% by achieving a rate of 13.3.4% this year. Jacob Stallings has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 89.5-mph average to last year's 86.7-mph EV. Jacob Stallings has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .201 rate is a good deal lower than his .273 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

According to THE BAT X, Juan Soto is predicted to be the 3rd-best batter in the game. Juan Soto is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Juan Soto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara today. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Comparing his seasonal 93.1-mph EV to his 99.4-mph average in the past week's games, Juan Soto's exit velocity has significantly gaind in recent times.

In terms of his batting average ability, Jean Segura ranks in the 90th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Jean Segura will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Weathers today... and even more favorably, Weathers has a large platoon split. Jean Segura hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Jean Segura will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Jean Segura has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .225 figure is quite a bit lower than his .305 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Yuli Gurriel is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. In the majors, LoanDepot Park's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Yuli Gurriel will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Weathers in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Weathers has a large platoon split. Yuli Gurriel will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. A significant increase in his exit velocity has been observed in Yuli Gurriel, evident by his 95-mph figure in the last week as compared to his seasonal figure of 87.8 mph.

Brett Sullivan will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup.

Trent Grisham will hold the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara today. Trent Grisham has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, improving his 8.7% rate last season to 16% this year. With a recent surge of games, Trent Grisham's Barrel% has significantly improved, as his seasonal rate of 16% rose to 28.6%. This year, Trent Grisham has significantly improved his launch angle to 23.1° compared to his 14.6° in the previous year. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Trent Grisham has suffered from bad luck this year. His .300 mark falls considerably below THE BAT X's version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .333.

Matt Carpenter will hold the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today's game. Hitters such as Matt Carpenter with a tendency for groundball hits are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Sandy Alcantara who specialize in flyballs. Compared to his seasonal average of 25.8°, Matt Carpenter has a significantly improved average launch angle of 37.4° on the balls with the highest exit velocity in the past two weeks. Matt Carpenter has compiled a .349 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 90th percentile for offensive ability (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Matt Carpenter has posted a .382 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 97th percentile.

THE BAT X projects Garrett Cooper as the 13th-best hitter in the majors when estimating his BABIP ability. Garrett Cooper is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. Garrett Cooper will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Weathers today... and even better, Weathers has a large platoon split. Garrett Cooper will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Garrett Cooper has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 9.3% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Rougned Odor has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (85% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Rougned Odor will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup. Rougned Odor, who uses extreme groundball bats, typically has more success against pitchers like Sandy Alcantara, who tend to throw extreme flyballs. Lately, Rougned Odor has enhanced his Barrel% notablely, rising from his seasonal rate of 9.8% to 16.7% in the past 14 days. As of late, Rougned Odor has seen an increase in his ability to hit the ball at an angle that maximizes home runs, ranging from -4° to 26°. This percentage has surged from 23% for the season to 30% within the past 14 days.

Fernando Tatis Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Jon Berti has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.