World Series Odds: A Dodgers Three-Peat is Already at +220, But It's Far From a Sure Thing
Total PicksMIL 152, TOR 165
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When it comes to his BABIP capskill, Kevin Kiermaier is projected in the 83rd percentile by THE BAT X. Kevin Kiermaier will hold the platoon advantage over Adrian Houser in today's matchup. The Milwaukee Brewers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kevin Kiermaier can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Kevin Kiermaier hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Kevin Kiermaier will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Daulton Varsho will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adrian Houser today. The Milwaukee Brewers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daulton Varsho has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Daulton Varsho will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Improvement can be seen in Daulton Varsho's capacity to hit the ball within the BABIP-maximizing launch angle range of -4° to 26°, increasing from 36.9% to 43.7% between last season and this year.
In this upcoming game, Brandon Belt is predicted to bat 4th on the lineup, despite the fact that he has mainly batted in the latter half of the batting order (73%) throughout the year. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Brandon Belt will have the handedness advantage over Adrian Houser in today's game. The Milwaukee Brewers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Belt can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Extreme groundball hitters like Brandon Belt tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Adrian Houser.
Whit Merrifield's batting average skill is estimated to be in the 88th percentile by THE BAT X projects. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Whit Merrifield will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. In the past two weeks, Whit Merrifield has exhibited a significant surge in his average launch mark on his highest exit velocity balls, measuring 24.8°, which marks a substantial rise from his seasonal mark of 19.1°. Whit Merrifield's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 42.5% to 48.9%.
Jesse Winker is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jesse Winker stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Jesse Winker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Jesse Winker has been unlucky this year, posting a .260 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .336 — a .076 difference. Jesse Winker has exhibited favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 96th percentile with a 1.36 K/BB rate.
Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Cavan Biggio will have the handedness advantage against Adrian Houser in today's game. The Milwaukee Brewers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Cavan Biggio has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Cavan Biggio will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Recently, Cavan Biggio' exit velocity on flyballs has noticeably improvementd, averageident from his 95.2-mph average in the last 7 days as compared to his seasonal average of 92.5-mph.
Tyrone Taylor will hold the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi today... and even better, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Tyrone Taylor hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Joey Wiemer will hold the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup... and even better, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Joey Wiemer hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Joey Wiemer has been unlucky this year, putting up a .260 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .296 — a .036 deviation.
Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Andruw Monasterio will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's game... and even better, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split.
THE BAT X projects Brian Anderson in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Brian Anderson is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Brian Anderson will hold the platoon advantage over Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Lately, Brian Anderson' exit velocity on flyballs has notably gaind, as markidenced by his average of 101.3-mph in the last 7 days, compared to his seasonal average of 89.8-mph.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Matt Chapman ranks in the 95th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Matt Chapman is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Matt Chapman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Adrian Houser, an extreme groundball pitcher, tends to be less effective against extreme flyball hitters such as Matt Chapman. Matt Chapman will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
THE BAT X projects Christian Yelich in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Christian Yelich is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Christian Yelich can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Christian Yelich has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.8-mph average to last year's 94.1-mph figure.
THE BAT X projects William Contreras in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. William Contreras is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. William Contreras will hold the platoon advantage over Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. William Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. William Contreras has made significant strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 10.8% seasonal rate to 18.2% over the last two weeks.
Darin Ruf is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Darin Ruf will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's game... and moreover, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. His exit velocity has greatly increased this season, evident by his current 95.1-mph average compared to his 89.2-mph mark from the previous year, as demonstrated by Darin Ruf. Improvement can be seen in Darin Ruf's capacity to hit the ball within the base hit-optimizing launch angle range of -4° to 26°, increasing from 40.1% to 58.1% between last year and this year.
In terms of his batting average skill, Alejandro Kirk ranks in the 92nd percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Alejandro Kirk will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. THE BAT X estimates Alejandro Kirk's true offensive talent to be a .345, implying that he this year given the .038 gap between that figure and his actual .307 wOBA. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Alejandro Kirk grades out in the 83rd percentile for offensive ability via THE BAT X's version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .345.
Bo Bichette has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.
George Springer has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.
Mike Brosseau has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.
Yusei Kikuchi has gone over 4.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | doomsday07 | 9-1-0 | +27055 |
| 2 | LuckyGuy | 3-7-0 | +21010 |
| 3 | Ollywood | 4-6-0 | +19651 |
| 4 | luke44 | 2-7-1 | +18810 |
| 5 | declin005 | 5-5-0 | +18675 |
| 6 | ronebme | 7-3-0 | +18055 |
| 7 | joe pockets | 7-3-0 | +17000 |
| 8 | peede | 5-5-0 | +16645 |
| 9 | longball44 | 7-3-0 | +16480 |
| 10 | djgarcia | 7-3-0 | +16030 |
| All Brewers Money Leaders | |||
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | hackorama | 6-4-0 | +19495 |
| 2 | accxmass | 5-4-1 | +17505 |
| 3 | Midway28 | 5-4-1 | +15885 |
| 4 | CastlemontDB91 | 6-3-1 | +15740 |
| 5 | Rossi35 | 7-3-0 | +15250 |
| 6 | CitoGMoney | 3-6-1 | +14955 |
| 7 | Kowalabear1994 | 7-3-0 | +14035 |
| 8 | rapa76 | 7-3-0 | +13985 |
| 9 | captty55 | 4-6-0 | +12990 |
| 10 | sailorman1965 | 8-2-0 | +12945 |
| All Blue Jays Money Leaders | |||